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Performs a one-stage pairwise or network meta-analysis while addressing aggregate binary or continuous missing participant outcome data via the pattern-mixture model.

Usage

run_model(
  data,
  measure,
  model,
  assumption,
  heter_prior,
  mean_misspar,
  var_misspar,
  D,
  ref,
  base_risk,
  n_chains,
  n_iter,
  n_burnin,
  n_thin,
  inits = NULL,
  adjust_wgt = NULL
)

Format

The columns of the data-frame in the argument data refer to the following elements for a continuous outcome:

tAn intervention identifier in each arm.
yThe observed mean value of the outcome in each arm.
sdThe observed standard deviation of the outcome in each arm.
mThe number of missing participant outcome data in each arm.
nThe number of randomised participants in each arm.

For a binary outcome, the columns of the data-frame in the argument data refer to the following elements:

tAn intervention identifier in each arm.
rThe observed number of events of the outcome in each arm.
mThe number of missing participant outcome data in each arm.
nThe number of randomised participants in each arm.

The number of rows in data equals the number of collected trials. Each element appears in data as many times as the maximum number of interventions compared in a trial of the dataset. In pairwise meta-analysis, the maximum number of arms is inherently two. The same holds for a network meta-analysis without multi-arm trials. In the case of network meta-analysis with multi-arm trials, the maximum number of arms exceeds two. See 'Examples' that illustrates the structure of data for a network with a maximum number of four arms. It is not a prerequisite of run_model that the multi-arm trials appear at the bottom of the dataset.

Arguments

data

A data-frame of the one-trial-per-row format with arm-level data. See 'Format' for the specification of the columns.

measure

Character string indicating the effect measure. For a binary outcome, the following can be considered: "OR", "RR" or "RD" for the odds ratio, relative risk, and risk difference, respectively. For a continuous outcome, the following can be considered: "MD", "SMD", or "ROM" for mean difference, standardised mean difference and ratio of means, respectively.

model

Character string indicating the analysis model with values "RE", or "FE" for the random-effects and fixed-effect model, respectively. The default argument is "RE".

assumption

Character string indicating the structure of the informative missingness parameter. Set assumption equal to one of the following: "HIE-COMMON", "HIE-TRIAL", "HIE-ARM", "IDE-COMMON", "IDE-TRIAL", "IDE-ARM", "IND-CORR", or "IND-UNCORR". The default argument is "IDE-ARM". The abbreviations "IDE", "HIE", and "IND" stand for identical, hierarchical and independent, respectively. "CORR" and "UNCORR" stand for correlated and uncorrelated, respectively.

heter_prior

A list of three elements with the following order: 1) a character string indicating the distribution with (currently available) values "halfnormal", "uniform", "lognormal", or "logt"; 2) two numeric values that refer to the parameters of the selected distribution. For "lognormal", and "logt" these numbers refer to the mean and precision, respectively. For "halfnormal", these numbers refer to zero and the scale parameter (equal to 4 or 1 being the corresponding precision of the scale parameter 0.5 or 1). For "uniform", these numbers refer to the minimum and maximum value of the distribution. See 'Details' in heterogeneity_param_prior.

mean_misspar

A scalar or numeric vector of two numeric values for the mean of the normal distribution of the informative missingness parameter (see 'Details'). The default argument is 0 and corresponds to the missing-at-random assumption. See also 'Details' in missingness_param_prior.

var_misspar

A positive non-zero number for the variance of the normal distribution of the informative missingness parameter. When the measure is "OR", "MD", or "SMD" the default argument is 1. When the measure is "ROM" the default argument is 0.04.

D

A binary number for the direction of the outcome. Set D = 1 for beneficial outcome and D = 0 for harmful outcome.

ref

An integer specifying the reference intervention. The number should match the intervention identifier under element t in data (See 'Format').

base_risk

A scalar, a vector of length three with elements sorted in ascending order, or a matrix with two columns and number of rows equal to the number of relevant trials. In the case of a scalar or vector, the elements should be in the interval (0, 1) (see 'Details'). If base_risk has not been defined, the function uses the median event risk for the reference intervention from the corresponding trials in data. This argument is only relevant for a binary outcome.

n_chains

Positive integer specifying the number of chains for the MCMC sampling; an argument of the jags function of the R-package R2jags. The default argument is 2.

n_iter

Positive integer specifying the number of Markov chains for the MCMC sampling; an argument of the jags function of the R-package R2jags. The default argument is 10000.

n_burnin

Positive integer specifying the number of iterations to discard at the beginning of the MCMC sampling; an argument of the jags function of the R-package R2jags. The default argument is 1000.

n_thin

Positive integer specifying the thinning rate for the MCMC sampling; an argument of the jags function of the R-package R2jags. The default argument is 1.

inits

A list with the initial values for the parameters; an argument of the jags function of the R-package R2jags. The default argument is NULL, and JAGS generates the initial values.

adjust_wgt

A positive numeric vector with length equal to the number of studies in the network, or a positive numeric matrix with two columns and number of rows equal to the number of studies in the network. The elements comprise study-specific weights. This argument is optional. See 'Details'.

Value

A list of R2jags output on the summaries of the posterior distribution, and the Gelman-Rubin convergence diagnostic (Gelman et al., 1992) of the following monitored parameters for a fixed-effect pairwise meta-analysis:

EM

The estimated summary effect measure (according to the argument measure).

EM_LOR

The estimated summary odd ratio in the logarithmic scale when measure = "RR" or measure = "RD".

dev_o

The deviance contribution of each trial-arm based on the observed outcome.

hat_par

The fitted outcome at each trial-arm.

phi

The informative missingness parameter.

For a fixed-effect network meta-analysis, the output additionally includes:

SUCRA

The surface under the cumulative ranking curve for each intervention.

SUCRA_LOR

The surface under the cumulative ranking curve for each intervention under the odds ratio effect measure when measure = "RR" or measure = "RD".

effectiveneness

The ranking probability of each intervention for every rank.

For a random-effects pairwise meta-analysis, the output additionally includes the following elements:

EM_pred

The predicted summary effect measure (according to the argument measure).

EM_pred_LOR

The predicted summary odds ratio in the logarithmic scale when measure = "RR" or measure = "RD".

delta

The estimated trial-specific effect measure (according to the argument measure).

tau

The between-trial standard deviation.

In network meta-analysis, EM and EM_pred refer to all possible pairwise comparisons of interventions in the network. Furthermore, tau is typically assumed to be common for all observed comparisons in the network. For a multi-arm trial, we estimate a total of T-1 delta for comparisons with the baseline intervention of the trial (found in the first column of the element t), with T being the number of interventions in the trial.

Furthermore, the output includes the following elements:

leverage_o

The leverage for the observed outcome at each trial-arm.

sign_dev_o

The sign of the difference between observed and fitted outcome at each trial-arm.

model_assessment

A data-frame on the measures of model assessment: deviance information criterion, number of effective parameters, and total residual deviance.

indic

The sign of basic parameters in relation to the reference intervention as specified in argument reg

jagsfit

An object of S3 class jags with the posterior results on all monitored parameters to be used in the mcmc_diagnostics function.

The run_model function also returns the arguments data, measure, model, assumption, heter_prior, mean_misspar, var_misspar, D, ref, base_risk, n_chains, n_iter, n_burnin, and n_thin as specified by the user to be inherited by other functions of the package.

Details

The model runs in JAGS and the progress of the simulation appears on the R console. The output of run_model is used as an S3 object by other functions of the package to be processed further and provide an end-user-ready output.

The data_preparation function is called to prepare the data for the Bayesian analysis. data_preparation creates the pseudo-data-frames m_new, and I, that have the same dimensions with the element N. m_new takes the zero value for the observed trial-arms with unreported missing participant outcome data (i.e., m equals NA for the corresponding trial-arms), the same value with m for the observed trial-arms with reported missing participant outcome data, and NA for the unobserved trial-arms. I is a dummy pseudo-data-frame and takes the value one for the observed trial-arms with reported missing participant outcome data, the zero value for the observed trial-arms with unreported missing participant outcome data (i.e., m_new equals zero for the corresponding trial-arms), and NA for the unobserved trial-arms. Thus, I indicates whether missing participant outcome data have been collected for the observed trial-arms. If the user has not defined the element m in data, m_new and I take the zero value for all observed trial-arms to indicate that no missing participant outcome data have been collected for the analysed outcome. See 'Details' in data_preparation.

Furthermore, data_preparation sorts the interventions across the arms of each trial in an ascending order and correspondingly the remaining elements in data (see 'Format'). data_preparation considers the first column in t as being the control arm for every trial. Thus, this sorting ensures that interventions with a lower identifier are consistently treated as the control arm in each trial. This case is relevant in non-star-shaped networks.

The model is updated until convergence using the autojags function of the R-package R2jags with 2 updates and number of iterations and thinning equal to n_iter and n_thin, respectively.

To perform a Bayesian pairwise or network meta-analysis, the prepare_model function is called which contains the WinBUGS code as written by Dias et al. (2013a) for binomial and normal likelihood to analyse aggregate binary and continuous outcome data, respectively. prepare_model uses the consistency model (as described in Lu and Ades (2006)) to estimate all possible comparisons in the network. It also accounts for the multi-arm trials by assigning conditional univariate normal distributions on the underlying trial-specific effect size of comparisons with the baseline arm of the multi-arm trial (Dias et al., 2013a).

The code of Dias et al. (2013a) has been extended to incorporate the pattern-mixture model to adjust the underlying outcome in each arm of every trial for missing participant outcome data (Spineli et al., 2021; Spineli, 2019a; Turner et al., 2015). The assumptions about the missingness parameter are specified using the arguments mean_misspar and var_misspar. Specifically, run_model considers the informative missingness odds ratio in the logarithmic scale for binary outcome data (Spineli, 2019a; Turner et al., 2015; White et al., 2008), the informative missingness difference of means when measure is "MD" or "SMD", and the informative missingness ratio of means in the logarithmic scale when measure is "ROM" (Spineli et al., 2021; Mavridis et al., 2015).

When assumption is trial-specific (i.e., "IDE-TRIAL" or "HIE-TRIAL"), or independent (i.e., "IND-CORR" or "IND-UNCORR"), only one numeric value can be assigned to mean_misspar because the same missingness scenario is applied to all trials and trial-arms of the dataset, respectively. When assumption is "IDE-ARM" or "HIE-ARM", a maximum of two different or identical numeric values can be assigned as a vector to mean_misspars: the first value refers to the experimental arm, and the second value refers to the control arm of a trial. In the case of a network, the first value is considered for all non-reference interventions and the second value is considered for the reference intervention of the network (i.e., the intervention with identifier equal to ref). This is necessary to ensure transitivity in the assumptions for the missingness parameter across the network (Spineli, 2019b).

When there is at least one trial-arm with unreported missing participant outcome data (i.e., m equals NA for the corresponding trial-arms) or when missing participant outcome data have not been collected for the analysed outcome (i.e., m is missing in data), run_model assigns the assumption "IND-UNCORR" to assumption.

Currently, there are no empirically-based prior distributions for the informative missingness parameters. The user may refer to Spineli (2019), Turner et al. (2015), Mavridis et al. (2015), and White et al. (2008) to determine mean_misspar and select a proper value for var_misspar.

The scalar base_risk refers to a fixed baseline risk for the selected reference intervention (as specified with ref). When base_risk is a three-element vector, it refers to a random baseline risk and the elements should be sorted in ascending order as they refer to the lower bound, mean value, and upper bound of the 95% confidence interval for the baseline risk for the selected reference intervention. The baseline_model function is called to calculate the mean and variance of the approximately normal distribution of the logit of an event for ref using these three elements (Dias et al., 2018). When base_risk is a matrix, it refers to the predicted baseline risk with first column being the number of events, and second column being the sample size of the corresponding trials on the selected reference intervention. Then the baseline_model function is called that contains the WinBUGS code as written by Dias et al. (2013b) for the hierarchical baseline model. The posterior mean and precision of the predictive distribution of the logit of an event for the selected reference intervention are plugged in the WinBUGS code for the relative effects model (via the prepare_model function). The matrix base_risk should not comprise the trials in data that include the ref, unless justified (Dias et al., 2018).

To obtain unique absolute risks for each intervention, the network meta-analysis model has been extended to incorporate the transitive risks framework, namely, an intervention has the same absolute risk regardless of the comparator intervention(s) in a trial (Spineli et al., 2017). The absolute risks are a function of the odds ratio (the base-case effect measure for a binary outcome) and the selected baseline risk for the reference intervention (ref) (Appendix in Dias et al., 2013a). We advocate using the odds ratio as an effect measure for its desired mathematical properties. Then, the relative risk and risk difference can be obtained as a function of the absolute risks of the corresponding interventions in the comparison of interest. Hence, regardless of the selected measure for a binary outcome, run_model performs pairwise or network meta-analysis based on the odds ratio.

When adjust_wgt is defined, run_model gives less weight to studies with smaller values, and more weight to studies with larger values. Specifically, the model weight the (contribution of the) studies by inflating the between-study variance of the underlying treatment effects of the studies (Proctor et al., 2022). This approach is only relevant for a random-effect model (model = "RE"). When adjust_wgt is specified as a matrix, the columns pertain to the bounds of the uniform distribution. Then, for each study, prepare_model samples the weights from the corresponding uniform distribution. This is similar to the enrichment-through-weighting approach implemented by Proctor et al. (2022).

References

Cooper NJ, Sutton AJ, Morris D, Ades AE, Welton NJ. Addressing between-study heterogeneity and inconsistency in mixed treatment comparisons: Application to stroke prevention treatments in individuals with non-rheumatic atrial fibrillation. Stat Med 2009;28(14):1861–81. doi: 10.1002/sim.3594

Dias S, Ades AE, Welton NJ, Jansen JP, Sutton AJ. Network Meta-Analysis for Decision Making. Chichester (UK): Wiley; 2018.

Dias S, Sutton AJ, Ades AE, Welton NJ. Evidence synthesis for decision making 2: a generalized linear modeling framework for pairwise and network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Med Decis Making 2013a;33(5):607–17. doi: 10.1177/0272989X12458724

Dias S, Welton NJ, Sutton AJ, Ades AE. Evidence synthesis for decision making 5: the baseline natural history model. Med Decis Making 2013b;33(5):657–70. doi: 10.1177/0272989X13485155

Gelman A, Rubin DB. Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences. Stat Sci 1992;7(4):457–72. doi: 10.1214/ss/1177011136

Lu G, Ades AE. Assessing evidence inconsistency in mixed treatment comparisons. J Am Stat Assoc 2006;101:447–59. doi: 10.1198/016214505000001302

Mavridis D, White IR, Higgins JP, Cipriani A, Salanti G. Allowing for uncertainty due to missing continuous outcome data in pairwise and network meta-analysis. Stat Med 2015;34(5):721–41. doi: 10.1002/sim.6365

Proctor T, Zimmermann S, Seide S, Kieser M. A comparison of methods for enriching network meta-analyses in the absence of individual patient data. Res Synth Methods 2022;13(6):745–759. doi: 10.1002/jrsm.1568.

Spineli LM, Kalyvas C, Papadimitropoulou K. Continuous(ly) missing outcome data in network meta-analysis: a one-stage pattern-mixture model approach. Stat Methods Med Res 2021;30(4):958–75. doi: 10.1177/0962280220983544

Spineli LM. An empirical comparison of Bayesian modelling strategies for missing binary outcome data in network meta-analysis. BMC Med Res Methodol 2019a;19(1):86. doi: 10.1186/s12874-019-0731-y

Spineli LM. Modeling missing binary outcome data while preserving transitivity assumption yielded more credible network meta-analysis results. J Clin Epidemiol 2019b;105:19–26. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2018.09.002

Spineli LM, Brignardello-Petersen R, Heen AF, Achille F, Brandt L, Guyatt GH, et al. Obtaining absolute effect estimates to facilitate shared decision making in the context of multiple-treatment comparisons. Abstracts of the Global Evidence Summit, Cape Town, South Africa. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2017;9(Suppl 1):18911.

Turner NL, Dias S, Ades AE, Welton NJ. A Bayesian framework to account for uncertainty due to missing binary outcome data in pairwise meta-analysis. Stat Med 2015;34(12):2062–80. doi: 10.1002/sim.6475

White IR, Higgins JP, Wood AM. Allowing for uncertainty due to missing data in meta-analysis–part 1: two-stage methods. Stat Med 2008;27(5):711–27. doi: 10.1002/sim.3008

Author

Loukia M. Spineli

Examples

data("nma.baker2009")

# Show the first six trials of the dataset
head(nma.baker2009)
#>                   study t1 t2 t3 t4 r1 r2 r3 r4 m1 m2 m3 m4  n1  n2 n3 n4
#> 1 Llewellyn-Jones, 1996  1  4 NA NA  3  0 NA NA  1  0 NA NA   8   8 NA NA
#> 2        Paggiaro, 1998  1  4 NA NA 51 45 NA NA 27 19 NA NA 139 142 NA NA
#> 3          Mahler, 1999  1  7 NA NA 47 28 NA NA 23  9 NA NA 143 135 NA NA
#> 4        Casaburi, 2000  1  8 NA NA 41 45 NA NA 18 12 NA NA 191 279 NA NA
#> 5       van Noord, 2000  1  7 NA NA 18 11 NA NA  8  7 NA NA  50  47 NA NA
#> 6         Rennard, 2001  1  7 NA NA 41 38 NA NA 29 22 NA NA 135 132 NA NA

# \donttest{
# Perform a random-effects network meta-analysis
# Note: Ideally, set 'n_iter' to 10000 and 'n_burnin' to 1000
run_model(data = nma.baker2009,
          measure = "OR",
          model = "RE",
          assumption = "IDE-ARM",
          heter_prior = list("halfnormal", 0, 1),
          mean_misspar = c(0, 0),
          var_misspar = 1,
          D = 0,
          ref = 1,
          n_chains = 3,
          n_iter = 1000,
          n_burnin = 100,
          n_thin = 1)
#> JAGS generates initial values for the parameters.
#> Running the model ...
#> Compiling model graph
#>    Resolving undeclared variables
#>    Allocating nodes
#> Graph information:
#>    Observed stochastic nodes: 100
#>    Unobserved stochastic nodes: 148
#>    Total graph size: 2620
#> 
#> Initializing model
#> 
#> ... Updating the model until convergence
#> $EM
#>                mean        sd        2.5%          25%         50%         75%
#> EM[2,1] -0.95204059 0.4794402 -1.86268263 -1.298319343 -0.94838067 -0.58364102
#> EM[3,1] -0.70931522 0.4432734 -1.61397667 -0.995171505 -0.71582090 -0.39240989
#> EM[4,1] -0.24712422 0.2720997 -0.72439335 -0.449340749 -0.24240817 -0.08132679
#> EM[5,1] -0.38521170 0.2961804 -0.90787612 -0.595388052 -0.41237292 -0.18420376
#> EM[6,1] -0.09852908 0.2536017 -0.61687827 -0.265312886 -0.08908474  0.08187280
#> EM[7,1] -0.46762454 0.1712873 -0.79919485 -0.591485198 -0.47203258 -0.33620053
#> EM[8,1] -0.48879494 0.1727219 -0.79301058 -0.607023257 -0.50651275 -0.39001735
#> EM[3,2]  0.24272536 0.5075921 -0.76069501 -0.073299780  0.22538107  0.58518474
#> EM[4,2]  0.70491636 0.5117273 -0.19581232  0.319529107  0.67467810  1.06008959
#> EM[5,2]  0.56682888 0.5120178 -0.36173899  0.183556700  0.57683863  0.91478543
#> EM[6,2]  0.85351151 0.4618588  0.01417983  0.521429187  0.82092062  1.16855816
#> EM[7,2]  0.48441605 0.4397853 -0.33229082  0.178172674  0.45614983  0.77231967
#> EM[8,2]  0.46324564 0.4432027 -0.38805643  0.157745517  0.44534200  0.76515308
#> EM[4,3]  0.46219100 0.4815025 -0.50046763  0.153207670  0.44845338  0.76049662
#> EM[5,3]  0.32410352 0.4522569 -0.51886563 -0.008591434  0.31278609  0.65441408
#> EM[6,3]  0.61078614 0.4452511 -0.28019938  0.334734935  0.59822205  0.90658836
#> EM[7,3]  0.24169069 0.4380255 -0.63661076 -0.040984207  0.23521300  0.54213897
#> EM[8,3]  0.22052028 0.4394324 -0.65433248 -0.049085123  0.22066397  0.50315897
#> EM[5,4] -0.13808748 0.3843198 -0.91724696 -0.370387616 -0.15189979  0.11166141
#> EM[6,4]  0.14859514 0.3392953 -0.54656791 -0.066875464  0.17350140  0.36978350
#> EM[7,4] -0.22050031 0.2828593 -0.81890156 -0.397501581 -0.19707001 -0.04951913
#> EM[8,4] -0.24167072 0.2873253 -0.86703212 -0.428354671 -0.19871853 -0.01191049
#> EM[6,5]  0.28668262 0.3670489 -0.42879303  0.026126908  0.30468874  0.55558935
#> EM[7,5] -0.08241283 0.3009944 -0.78868703 -0.271965550 -0.04861505  0.13445575
#> EM[8,5] -0.10358324 0.3223878 -0.79634167 -0.330827550 -0.08102303  0.15740611
#> EM[7,6] -0.36909546 0.2661312 -0.89493168 -0.539397644 -0.37952884 -0.18341981
#> EM[8,6] -0.39026586 0.2569948 -0.92434139 -0.562250938 -0.36837912 -0.22314585
#> EM[8,7] -0.02117041 0.1805161 -0.38701265 -0.147704616 -0.01047825  0.11263858
#>               97.5%     Rhat n.eff
#> EM[2,1] -0.05773006 1.043450    51
#> EM[3,1]  0.12506095 1.034442    67
#> EM[4,1]  0.33966243 1.099859    30
#> EM[5,1]  0.22649483 1.008371   430
#> EM[6,1]  0.35867727 1.109187    23
#> EM[7,1] -0.16334827 1.041462    62
#> EM[8,1] -0.09526632 1.192267    17
#> EM[3,2]  1.22485452 1.003592   650
#> EM[4,2]  1.74651663 1.004772   470
#> EM[5,2]  1.56185541 1.028603    75
#> EM[6,2]  1.78626870 1.030219    70
#> EM[7,2]  1.37877319 1.024095    92
#> EM[8,2]  1.33085361 1.042044    56
#> EM[4,3]  1.45776138 1.011869  3000
#> EM[5,3]  1.15069585 1.024310   110
#> EM[6,3]  1.48886384 1.013543   160
#> EM[7,3]  1.10223912 1.014876   180
#> EM[8,3]  1.10058586 1.018937   120
#> EM[5,4]  0.57348391 1.043534    97
#> EM[6,4]  0.79608022 1.034285   110
#> EM[7,4]  0.34518394 1.032838    96
#> EM[8,4]  0.19691008 1.042715    63
#> EM[6,5]  0.95615881 1.025735    87
#> EM[7,5]  0.44594686 1.005913   400
#> EM[8,5]  0.40664317 1.019023   120
#> EM[7,6]  0.13739640 1.056560    42
#> EM[8,6]  0.09487756 1.014979   430
#> EM[8,7]  0.29551718 1.089213    27
#> 
#> $dev_o
#>                  mean        sd         2.5%        25%       50%       75%
#> dev.o[1,1]  2.3071803 2.1933933 0.0073567540 0.61179928 1.6530164 3.3683965
#> dev.o[2,1]  0.9079757 1.3118594 0.0007120113 0.08563851 0.4070833 1.2354509
#> dev.o[3,1]  1.0839551 1.4407935 0.0012125099 0.11703586 0.5582722 1.4755065
#> dev.o[4,1]  0.7090118 1.0290274 0.0004398211 0.07683608 0.3140766 0.9339732
#> dev.o[5,1]  0.6831468 1.0064211 0.0007563215 0.06818154 0.3071991 0.8623092
#> dev.o[6,1]  0.9762501 1.3266782 0.0011329538 0.10685918 0.4471693 1.3494932
#> dev.o[7,1]  0.7514604 1.1056381 0.0007320714 0.07975755 0.3340751 0.9963726
#> dev.o[8,1]  0.6935655 0.9593776 0.0006833240 0.06629988 0.3122286 0.9322861
#> dev.o[9,1]  0.8251130 1.1003219 0.0009207312 0.08982647 0.3959668 1.1330745
#> dev.o[10,1] 0.6048649 0.8292364 0.0005580268 0.06672803 0.2917977 0.8091903
#> dev.o[11,1] 0.9290830 1.2705690 0.0011233435 0.09435495 0.4357913 1.2198596
#> dev.o[12,1] 1.2110815 1.4465765 0.0020073997 0.16405302 0.6885742 1.7802372
#> dev.o[13,1] 1.2057704 1.5635631 0.0015367227 0.13534012 0.6102129 1.6610500
#> dev.o[14,1] 0.9112328 1.2453573 0.0010522737 0.09839312 0.4244318 1.2376709
#> dev.o[15,1] 1.0229530 1.4125146 0.0014979551 0.10846138 0.4860898 1.3733180
#> dev.o[16,1] 1.2182700 1.6519888 0.0012534494 0.13107383 0.5611781 1.7171586
#> dev.o[17,1] 2.1296344 2.2864530 0.0040926144 0.39400492 1.4164747 3.1398023
#> dev.o[18,1] 1.1975034 1.5444925 0.0015516081 0.14238018 0.6177234 1.6181070
#> dev.o[19,1] 1.6882705 1.8258474 0.0048631820 0.33344766 1.1022939 2.4720228
#> dev.o[20,1] 0.7096011 1.0402504 0.0005855375 0.06993335 0.3045210 0.9214136
#> dev.o[21,1] 1.0818207 1.3966292 0.0014758240 0.13128089 0.5445654 1.5012565
#> dev.o[1,2]  3.3350277 1.9702121 0.6974765052 1.88606525 2.9328227 4.3556750
#> dev.o[2,2]  0.8669448 1.2145900 0.0007352499 0.09500829 0.4139336 1.1427352
#> dev.o[3,2]  1.0694359 1.3839576 0.0014985238 0.13732538 0.5724687 1.4510729
#> dev.o[4,2]  0.7593066 1.0848895 0.0009571201 0.08167565 0.3438982 0.9779041
#> dev.o[5,2]  0.6124559 0.8746811 0.0006546363 0.05779869 0.2685631 0.7947191
#> dev.o[6,2]  0.9994327 1.2725817 0.0009721294 0.11395641 0.5195427 1.3757372
#> dev.o[7,2]  0.8726066 1.2528443 0.0006569659 0.08410909 0.3680264 1.1370170
#> dev.o[8,2]  0.7151418 0.9968180 0.0006593573 0.07127684 0.3322177 0.9661331
#> dev.o[9,2]  0.6929576 1.0048032 0.0007904313 0.06662233 0.3019471 0.9056621
#> dev.o[10,2] 1.5600720 1.9264592 0.0016510991 0.20708719 0.8760467 2.2575471
#> dev.o[11,2] 0.9639600 1.3624433 0.0009393399 0.10249989 0.4462106 1.2743870
#> dev.o[12,2] 0.7930674 1.1122372 0.0006754685 0.07374094 0.3590571 1.0403367
#> dev.o[13,2] 0.9742233 1.4296577 0.0008964583 0.09182103 0.4176806 1.3000702
#> dev.o[14,2] 0.8399442 1.1311753 0.0005944725 0.07659741 0.3931893 1.1569887
#> dev.o[15,2] 1.0629351 1.4070454 0.0011235786 0.11839209 0.5158458 1.4589415
#> dev.o[16,2] 1.3031174 1.7680395 0.0009028689 0.12434073 0.5940880 1.7693648
#> dev.o[17,2] 2.3367117 2.0363286 0.0201587775 0.77957057 1.8405794 3.3588399
#> dev.o[18,2] 1.1189644 1.3427531 0.0011272206 0.15870105 0.6384796 1.6279943
#> dev.o[19,2] 0.4962324 0.7294454 0.0002928365 0.05172238 0.2288764 0.6394235
#> dev.o[20,2] 0.6974186 0.9656040 0.0007682187 0.06892373 0.3178203 0.9226550
#> dev.o[21,2] 0.9847043 1.2442284 0.0012025326 0.13155982 0.5207149 1.3733596
#> dev.o[9,3]  0.8989572 1.1714149 0.0009518012 0.10147169 0.4488655 1.2450611
#> dev.o[10,3] 0.6998207 0.9578957 0.0010575342 0.07535629 0.3146118 0.9161630
#> dev.o[12,3] 1.1206649 1.5034391 0.0013201022 0.12231166 0.5502682 1.5552434
#> dev.o[13,3] 1.0346507 1.4832597 0.0007788104 0.10674241 0.4751515 1.3425657
#> dev.o[19,3] 1.2199684 1.0987213 0.0135774101 0.39131910 0.9122099 1.7432208
#> dev.o[10,4] 1.1324147 1.4738738 0.0011403772 0.13093443 0.5778444 1.5690025
#> dev.o[12,4] 0.8233828 1.0772451 0.0007722888 0.09626880 0.4061329 1.1072325
#> dev.o[13,4] 1.1359306 1.5404937 0.0013679131 0.12143631 0.5543152 1.5181500
#>                97.5%     Rhat n.eff
#> dev.o[1,1]  8.122587 1.000811  3000
#> dev.o[2,1]  4.432680 1.004100   560
#> dev.o[3,1]  5.155303 1.000553  3000
#> dev.o[4,1]  3.771648 1.005417   800
#> dev.o[5,1]  3.463636 1.000557  3000
#> dev.o[6,1]  4.786749 1.002755  2600
#> dev.o[7,1]  3.730670 1.005075   510
#> dev.o[8,1]  3.376928 1.002274  3000
#> dev.o[9,1]  3.943331 1.002153  1200
#> dev.o[10,1] 3.098952 1.001611  1900
#> dev.o[11,1] 4.714587 1.001027  3000
#> dev.o[12,1] 5.202680 1.002541  2400
#> dev.o[13,1] 5.578894 1.001946  1400
#> dev.o[14,1] 4.618663 1.001234  3000
#> dev.o[15,1] 5.064572 1.006883   320
#> dev.o[16,1] 5.851498 1.003055  1800
#> dev.o[17,1] 8.100762 1.000851  3000
#> dev.o[18,1] 5.395922 1.002757  1600
#> dev.o[19,1] 6.554515 1.006741  1100
#> dev.o[20,1] 3.762901 1.004555  1100
#> dev.o[21,1] 4.987512 1.001095  3000
#> dev.o[1,2]  8.124931 1.002399  1100
#> dev.o[2,2]  4.417844 1.002878   840
#> dev.o[3,2]  4.947724 1.006695   760
#> dev.o[4,2]  3.700189 1.002128  1200
#> dev.o[5,2]  3.210201 1.000837  3000
#> dev.o[6,2]  4.578936 1.000502  3000
#> dev.o[7,2]  4.361856 1.001787  1600
#> dev.o[8,2]  3.567278 1.006177   470
#> dev.o[9,2]  3.568487 1.001812  2100
#> dev.o[10,2] 6.628965 1.002274  1100
#> dev.o[11,2] 4.730719 1.001577  2300
#> dev.o[12,2] 3.827105 1.000991  3000
#> dev.o[13,2] 4.950386 1.000548  3000
#> dev.o[14,2] 4.164878 1.001549  2900
#> dev.o[15,2] 4.971398 1.004991   450
#> dev.o[16,2] 6.458039 1.001779  1600
#> dev.o[17,2] 7.549323 1.007690  3000
#> dev.o[18,2] 4.809164 1.006646   330
#> dev.o[19,2] 2.534383 1.000872  3000
#> dev.o[20,2] 3.596330 1.001976  1800
#> dev.o[21,2] 4.303797 1.001789  1600
#> dev.o[9,3]  4.248155 1.009025   240
#> dev.o[10,3] 3.498728 1.000717  3000
#> dev.o[12,3] 5.325256 1.001507  3000
#> dev.o[13,3] 5.407988 1.000907  3000
#> dev.o[19,3] 4.020421 1.002852   850
#> dev.o[10,4] 5.178270 1.001057  3000
#> dev.o[12,4] 3.828119 1.004632   540
#> dev.o[13,4] 5.514376 1.004396   520
#> 
#> $hat_par
#>                     mean         sd        2.5%         25%        50%
#> hat.par[1,1]    1.569227  0.7582175   0.3971556   0.9956319   1.483746
#> hat.par[2,1]   49.214918  4.6318594  40.2080361  46.0531174  49.302493
#> hat.par[3,1]   44.039860  4.5586434  35.3642212  40.8063050  43.822675
#> hat.par[4,1]   42.101649  4.6481508  33.1653216  38.9147669  41.974998
#> hat.par[5,1]   17.199010  2.4630157  12.4262454  15.5385570  17.132913
#> hat.par[6,1]   43.849731  4.1355486  35.7999508  41.0727761  43.779041
#> hat.par[7,1]  157.037615  7.3250085 142.8364789 152.0707807 157.095861
#> hat.par[8,1]   68.381123  5.3871372  57.8902341  64.6538148  68.397409
#> hat.par[9,1]   89.392634  5.1708455  79.3739713  85.8898893  89.378519
#> hat.par[10,1]  78.515601  3.7362193  71.0355424  75.9692464  78.607775
#> hat.par[11,1]  73.119283  5.7615321  61.9642225  69.1832292  73.027219
#> hat.par[12,1]  77.285710  4.1653201  68.7137733  74.6188665  77.334391
#> hat.par[13,1]  49.637304  4.7126545  40.7425908  46.4213905  49.553988
#> hat.par[14,1]  33.992407  4.6995119  25.2554269  30.6643146  33.756036
#> hat.par[15,1]  36.856981  4.7511394  27.6559059  33.6237018  36.805866
#> hat.par[16,1] 303.904584 13.0076948 279.1312729 294.6176151 303.792515
#> hat.par[17,1]  10.545778  2.4856932   6.2487877   8.7561146  10.355889
#> hat.par[18,1]  21.512362  3.2911746  15.5491805  19.3059103  21.360055
#> hat.par[19,1]   4.018424  1.3872414   1.7609993   3.0044707   3.863965
#> hat.par[20,1]  25.282681  3.5277359  18.3874257  22.9284851  25.172600
#> hat.par[21,1]  32.088245  4.2742511  24.3769390  29.1416319  31.848090
#> hat.par[1,2]    1.458258  0.7500639   0.3412464   0.8895718   1.339863
#> hat.par[2,2]   46.708109  4.7213612  37.6606960  43.4296639  46.713771
#> hat.par[3,2]   31.219260  3.9238734  23.6856780  28.5906597  31.191710
#> hat.par[4,2]   43.893274  5.0925631  34.4131878  40.4477382  43.633016
#> hat.par[5,2]   11.962787  2.0793399   8.1464936  10.5142656  11.832455
#> hat.par[6,2]   35.118704  3.8713810  27.9215314  32.4682541  35.033015
#> hat.par[7,2]  196.703982  9.9885830 177.5774113 190.2844347 196.625797
#> hat.par[8,2]   51.510687  5.0792071  42.0432968  48.0154545  51.434286
#> hat.par[9,2]   81.140892  5.6200235  69.9829460  77.3890093  81.099288
#> hat.par[10,2]  72.990830  3.9255573  65.1411359  70.3315425  73.114700
#> hat.par[11,2] 119.322130  8.2892628 103.4750676 113.6919638 119.368621
#> hat.par[12,2]  80.451585  4.7977663  70.9569054  77.2800177  80.445409
#> hat.par[13,2]  26.069279  4.4859301  17.6640011  23.0436333  25.883888
#> hat.par[14,2]  32.037486  4.5390885  23.3007303  28.9762599  31.835780
#> hat.par[15,2]  32.201763  4.3883520  24.3014246  29.1557523  31.970160
#> hat.par[16,2] 247.087113 12.7194475 222.2364651 238.5762026 247.028630
#> hat.par[17,2]   7.324783  1.9350027   3.9512247   5.9453248   7.179774
#> hat.par[18,2]  13.387299  2.4985008   8.6749858  11.6042003  13.347981
#> hat.par[19,2]   2.658991  1.0198108   1.1267914   1.9029012   2.536545
#> hat.par[20,2]  18.736293  2.9783134  13.2867808  16.6519191  18.610579
#> hat.par[21,2]  21.741242  3.4753794  14.8737162  19.4429205  21.670450
#> hat.par[9,3]   79.961518  5.8628009  68.1530193  76.0602411  80.104634
#> hat.par[10,3]  68.801155  4.2344402  60.5006478  65.9265403  68.870473
#> hat.par[12,3]  67.555619  4.7850638  58.1151361  64.2760986  67.633091
#> hat.par[13,3]  35.014956  5.2396509  25.2560244  31.3867656  34.807907
#> hat.par[19,3]   2.388314  0.8757448   1.0424908   1.7490433   2.255402
#> hat.par[10,4]  66.635280  4.2499539  57.9441519  63.8049961  66.644777
#> hat.par[12,4]  62.545012  4.3061344  54.4654690  59.6584376  62.421287
#> hat.par[13,4]  41.286114  4.7590275  32.1827152  38.0941396  41.220040
#>                      75%      97.5%     Rhat n.eff
#> hat.par[1,1]    2.037852   3.260411 1.001666  1700
#> hat.par[2,1]   52.299546  58.251566 1.007607   320
#> hat.par[3,1]   47.151779  53.287930 1.007667   380
#> hat.par[4,1]   45.121449  51.590723 1.018158   120
#> hat.par[5,1]   18.808658  22.132856 1.006068   360
#> hat.par[6,1]   46.623253  52.184982 1.004224   650
#> hat.par[7,1]  162.083751 171.152275 1.004737   700
#> hat.par[8,1]   71.996041  78.995873 1.003284   720
#> hat.par[9,1]   92.870610  99.582368 1.007559   350
#> hat.par[10,1]  81.115362  85.347145 1.002054  1300
#> hat.par[11,1]  76.899477  84.807986 1.024962    89
#> hat.par[12,1]  80.192045  85.239690 1.012986   170
#> hat.par[13,1]  52.762544  59.225049 1.001262  2600
#> hat.par[14,1]  37.057302  43.606043 1.013855   150
#> hat.par[15,1]  39.923050  46.416051 1.007540   420
#> hat.par[16,1] 312.959058 329.536426 1.002106  1200
#> hat.par[17,1]  12.144564  15.830995 1.001324  3000
#> hat.par[18,1]  23.657319  28.326699 1.001910  1700
#> hat.par[19,1]   4.839353   7.190632 1.001521  2000
#> hat.par[20,1]  27.537116  32.467120 1.000828  3000
#> hat.par[21,1]  34.833862  40.673813 1.008080   320
#> hat.par[1,2]    1.906566   3.185494 1.002433  1000
#> hat.par[2,2]   49.883258  56.238698 1.009086   250
#> hat.par[3,2]   33.750701  39.204148 1.005707   480
#> hat.par[4,2]   47.317451  54.142228 1.008459   250
#> hat.par[5,2]   13.351716  16.361752 1.007945   290
#> hat.par[6,2]   37.603870  43.135371 1.002477  1000
#> hat.par[7,2]  203.230363 216.543342 1.003424   690
#> hat.par[8,2]   54.959653  61.593978 1.001791  1600
#> hat.par[9,2]   84.823256  92.277772 1.020455   100
#> hat.par[10,2]  75.733759  80.398072 1.003124   760
#> hat.par[11,2] 124.974060 135.381909 1.006300   350
#> hat.par[12,2]  83.769829  89.588474 1.000707  3000
#> hat.par[13,2]  28.959511  35.180349 1.009907   240
#> hat.par[14,2]  35.080253  41.327520 1.007215   300
#> hat.par[15,2]  34.993202  41.365077 1.007002   370
#> hat.par[16,2] 255.352644 273.442851 1.004707   480
#> hat.par[17,2]   8.551436  11.537933 1.003324  1300
#> hat.par[18,2]  15.081678  18.422396 1.008739   240
#> hat.par[19,2]   3.241607   5.027312 1.001501  2000
#> hat.par[20,2]  20.680167  24.969858 1.001159  3000
#> hat.par[21,2]  24.023516  28.670054 1.017667   130
#> hat.par[9,3]   83.958378  91.181472 1.023633    92
#> hat.par[10,3]  71.758228  76.971699 1.000913  3000
#> hat.par[12,3]  70.834894  77.108794 1.004922   450
#> hat.par[13,3]  38.469537  45.393709 1.000607  3000
#> hat.par[19,3]   2.905699   4.383472 1.003206   740
#> hat.par[10,4]  69.506133  74.847723 1.000677  3000
#> hat.par[12,4]  65.384052  71.122321 1.002973   900
#> hat.par[13,4]  44.361295  50.989344 1.007458   290
#> 
#> $leverage_o
#>  [1] 0.8653020 0.7927569 0.7724190 0.6706851 0.6202568 0.6581885 0.7367482
#>  [8] 0.6901257 0.6575889 0.5948410 0.8405791 0.6024611 0.8068950 0.7787674
#> [15] 0.7380944 0.8865771 0.8928257 0.7876757 0.7686947 0.6242977 0.7594946
#> [22] 0.2388784 0.7657430 0.6173093 0.7261342 0.5001127 0.6569333 0.8582310
#> [29] 0.7086570 0.6772783 0.7168270 0.8933283 0.7277189 0.9739954 0.6920177
#> [36] 0.7749683 0.9461156 0.3508033 0.5425888 0.3097707 0.5978827 0.5769333
#> [43] 0.7148173 0.6760204 0.7371787 1.0346424 0.1501427 0.6637422 0.6218316
#> [50] 0.7555956
#> 
#> $sign_dev_o
#>  [1]  1  1  1 -1  1 -1 -1 -1  1  1  1 -1  1  1 -1 -1  1  1  1 -1  1 -1 -1 -1  1
#> [26] -1  1  1  1  1  1 -1 -1 -1 -1  1  1 -1 -1 -1  1 -1 -1 -1  1 -1 -1 -1  1 -1
#> 
#> $phi
#>               mean        sd       2.5%        25%          50%        75%
#> phi[1] -0.31188488 0.5672879 -1.5153805 -0.6709594 -0.257198433  0.1051096
#> phi[2]  0.03233370 0.9514805 -1.8878946 -0.6146299  0.058410555  0.7094599
#> phi[3] -0.01284126 0.9848809 -2.0103916 -0.6693043  0.007126058  0.6613259
#> phi[4] -1.04465367 0.8505398 -2.5518031 -1.6313232 -1.110311514 -0.4989336
#> phi[5] -0.30224230 0.9487218 -1.9647441 -0.9524710 -0.376211797  0.2876648
#> phi[6]  0.76525637 0.7890515 -0.9417339  0.3027762  0.802628797  1.2633528
#> phi[7] -0.36232757 0.6824686 -1.6529574 -0.8152265 -0.376463284  0.0853005
#> phi[8] -0.06595861 1.0347412 -1.9951224 -0.7950951 -0.083820701  0.6579151
#>            97.5%     Rhat n.eff
#> phi[1] 0.6674523 1.144704    19
#> phi[2] 1.7773956 1.005550   400
#> phi[3] 1.8234925 1.001722  1600
#> phi[4] 0.7297468 1.028166   190
#> phi[5] 1.7462488 1.020474   110
#> phi[6] 2.2851028 1.020293   110
#> phi[7] 1.0110384 1.031469    81
#> phi[8] 1.9763803 1.044953    68
#> 
#> $model_assessment
#>        DIC       pD      dev n_data
#> 1 88.71967 34.75147 53.96819     50
#> 
#> $data
#>                    study t1 t2 t3 t4  r1  r2 r3 r4  m1 m2 m3 m4  n1  n2  n3  n4
#> 1  Llewellyn-Jones, 1996  1  4 NA NA   3   0 NA NA   1  0 NA NA   8   8  NA  NA
#> 2         Paggiaro, 1998  1  4 NA NA  51  45 NA NA  27 19 NA NA 139 142  NA  NA
#> 3           Mahler, 1999  1  7 NA NA  47  28 NA NA  23  9 NA NA 143 135  NA  NA
#> 4         Casaburi, 2000  1  8 NA NA  41  45 NA NA  18 12 NA NA 191 279  NA  NA
#> 5        van Noord, 2000  1  7 NA NA  18  11 NA NA   8  7 NA NA  50  47  NA  NA
#> 6          Rennard, 2001  1  7 NA NA  41  38 NA NA  29 22 NA NA 135 132  NA  NA
#> 7         Casaburi, 2002  1  8 NA NA 156 198 NA NA  77 66 NA NA 371 550  NA  NA
#> 8          Chapman, 2002  1  7 NA NA  68  52 NA NA  28 20 NA NA 207 201  NA  NA
#> 9          Donohue, 2002  1  7  8 NA  92  82 77 NA  37 20 10 NA 201 213 209  NA
#> 10          Mahler, 2002  1  4  7  5  79  77 63 68  69 68 45 52 181 168 160 165
#> 11           Rossi, 2002  1  6 NA NA  75 117 NA NA  59 92 NA NA 220 425  NA  NA
#> 12         Hanania, 2003  1  4  7  5  73  79 65 71  59 49 57 53 185 183 177 178
#> 13      Szafranski, 2003  1  2  6  3  53  26 38 35  90 62 64 59 205 198 201 208
#> 14          Briggs, 2005  8  7 NA NA  30  36 NA NA  29 41 NA NA 328 325  NA  NA
#> 15        Campbell, 2005  1  6 NA NA  34  35 NA NA  39 30 NA NA 217 215  NA  NA
#> 16      Niewoehner, 2005  1  8 NA NA 296 255 NA NA 111 75 NA NA 915 914  NA  NA
#> 17       van Noord, 2005  8  6 NA NA   4  14 NA NA   1  1 NA NA  70  69  NA  NA
#> 18          Barnes, 2006  1  5 NA NA  24  11 NA NA   4  8 NA NA  73  67  NA  NA
#> 19       O Donnell, 2006  1  7  5 NA   6   1  2 NA   5  1  3 NA  64  59  62  NA
#> 20     Baumgartner, 2007  1  7 NA NA  24  20 NA NA  32 26 NA NA 143 144  NA  NA
#> 21         Freeman, 2007  1  8 NA NA  35  19 NA NA  33 18 NA NA 195 200  NA  NA
#> 
#> $measure
#> [1] "OR"
#> 
#> $model
#> [1] "RE"
#> 
#> $assumption
#> [1] "IDE-ARM"
#> 
#> $mean_misspar
#> [1] 1e-04 1e-04
#> 
#> $var_misspar
#> [1] 1
#> 
#> $D
#> [1] 0
#> 
#> $ref
#> [1] 1
#> 
#> $indic
#>       [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4]
#>  [1,]    1    1   NA   NA
#>  [2,]    1    1   NA   NA
#>  [3,]    1    1   NA   NA
#>  [4,]    1    1   NA   NA
#>  [5,]    1    1   NA   NA
#>  [6,]    1    1   NA   NA
#>  [7,]    1    1   NA   NA
#>  [8,]    1    1   NA   NA
#>  [9,]    1    1    1   NA
#> [10,]    1    1    1    1
#> [11,]    1    1   NA   NA
#> [12,]    1    1    1    1
#> [13,]    1    1    1    1
#> [14,]    1    1   NA   NA
#> [15,]    1    1   NA   NA
#> [16,]    1    1   NA   NA
#> [17,]    1    1   NA   NA
#> [18,]    1    1   NA   NA
#> [19,]    1    1    1   NA
#> [20,]    1    1   NA   NA
#> [21,]    1    1   NA   NA
#> 
#> $jagsfit
#> Inference for Bugs model at "5", fit using jags,
#>  3 chains, each with 1000 iterations (first 0 discarded)
#>  n.sims = 3000 iterations saved
#>                    mu.vect sd.vect    2.5%     25%     50%     75%   97.5%
#> EM[2,1]             -0.952   0.479  -1.863  -1.298  -0.948  -0.584  -0.058
#> EM[3,1]             -0.709   0.443  -1.614  -0.995  -0.716  -0.392   0.125
#> EM[4,1]             -0.247   0.272  -0.724  -0.449  -0.242  -0.081   0.340
#> EM[5,1]             -0.385   0.296  -0.908  -0.595  -0.412  -0.184   0.226
#> EM[6,1]             -0.099   0.254  -0.617  -0.265  -0.089   0.082   0.359
#> EM[7,1]             -0.468   0.171  -0.799  -0.591  -0.472  -0.336  -0.163
#> EM[8,1]             -0.489   0.173  -0.793  -0.607  -0.507  -0.390  -0.095
#> EM[3,2]              0.243   0.508  -0.761  -0.073   0.225   0.585   1.225
#> EM[4,2]              0.705   0.512  -0.196   0.320   0.675   1.060   1.747
#> EM[5,2]              0.567   0.512  -0.362   0.184   0.577   0.915   1.562
#> EM[6,2]              0.854   0.462   0.014   0.521   0.821   1.169   1.786
#> EM[7,2]              0.484   0.440  -0.332   0.178   0.456   0.772   1.379
#> EM[8,2]              0.463   0.443  -0.388   0.158   0.445   0.765   1.331
#> EM[4,3]              0.462   0.482  -0.500   0.153   0.448   0.760   1.458
#> EM[5,3]              0.324   0.452  -0.519  -0.009   0.313   0.654   1.151
#> EM[6,3]              0.611   0.445  -0.280   0.335   0.598   0.907   1.489
#> EM[7,3]              0.242   0.438  -0.637  -0.041   0.235   0.542   1.102
#> EM[8,3]              0.221   0.439  -0.654  -0.049   0.221   0.503   1.101
#> EM[5,4]             -0.138   0.384  -0.917  -0.370  -0.152   0.112   0.573
#> EM[6,4]              0.149   0.339  -0.547  -0.067   0.174   0.370   0.796
#> EM[7,4]             -0.221   0.283  -0.819  -0.398  -0.197  -0.050   0.345
#> EM[8,4]             -0.242   0.287  -0.867  -0.428  -0.199  -0.012   0.197
#> EM[6,5]              0.287   0.367  -0.429   0.026   0.305   0.556   0.956
#> EM[7,5]             -0.082   0.301  -0.789  -0.272  -0.049   0.134   0.446
#> EM[8,5]             -0.104   0.322  -0.796  -0.331  -0.081   0.157   0.407
#> EM[7,6]             -0.369   0.266  -0.895  -0.539  -0.380  -0.183   0.137
#> EM[8,6]             -0.390   0.257  -0.924  -0.562  -0.368  -0.223   0.095
#> EM[8,7]             -0.021   0.181  -0.387  -0.148  -0.010   0.113   0.296
#> EM.pred[2,1]        -0.949   0.510  -1.948  -1.310  -0.938  -0.571  -0.018
#> EM.pred[3,1]        -0.710   0.478  -1.661  -1.011  -0.714  -0.375   0.203
#> EM.pred[4,1]        -0.247   0.325  -0.886  -0.455  -0.237  -0.065   0.447
#> EM.pred[5,1]        -0.383   0.341  -1.052  -0.613  -0.397  -0.145   0.269
#> EM.pred[6,1]        -0.097   0.310  -0.733  -0.295  -0.088   0.120   0.489
#> EM.pred[7,1]        -0.469   0.251  -0.998  -0.624  -0.455  -0.310   0.009
#> EM.pred[8,1]        -0.494   0.248  -1.013  -0.642  -0.487  -0.337  -0.052
#> EM.pred[3,2]         0.242   0.541  -0.821  -0.100   0.226   0.600   1.295
#> EM.pred[4,2]         0.705   0.551  -0.269   0.291   0.667   1.084   1.831
#> EM.pred[5,2]         0.571   0.537  -0.385   0.170   0.577   0.938   1.584
#> EM.pred[6,2]         0.853   0.501  -0.092   0.506   0.819   1.179   1.867
#> EM.pred[7,2]         0.485   0.469  -0.418   0.167   0.455   0.788   1.444
#> EM.pred[8,2]         0.469   0.477  -0.459   0.151   0.452   0.794   1.424
#> EM.pred[4,3]         0.465   0.508  -0.539   0.128   0.465   0.785   1.511
#> EM.pred[5,3]         0.324   0.490  -0.606  -0.031   0.324   0.678   1.239
#> EM.pred[6,3]         0.613   0.473  -0.334   0.318   0.597   0.920   1.546
#> EM.pred[7,3]         0.244   0.469  -0.703  -0.057   0.248   0.558   1.178
#> EM.pred[8,3]         0.225   0.473  -0.734  -0.064   0.228   0.528   1.152
#> EM.pred[5,4]        -0.146   0.423  -1.034  -0.390  -0.166   0.131   0.650
#> EM.pred[6,4]         0.150   0.383  -0.624  -0.080   0.170   0.384   0.908
#> EM.pred[7,4]        -0.223   0.340  -0.966  -0.425  -0.195  -0.011   0.437
#> EM.pred[8,4]        -0.245   0.337  -0.984  -0.444  -0.200   0.000   0.312
#> EM.pred[6,5]         0.284   0.409  -0.506   0.007   0.302   0.568   1.073
#> EM.pred[7,5]        -0.087   0.351  -0.859  -0.309  -0.053   0.150   0.547
#> EM.pred[8,5]        -0.101   0.369  -0.873  -0.352  -0.071   0.184   0.509
#> EM.pred[7,6]        -0.365   0.317  -1.002  -0.553  -0.366  -0.148   0.216
#> EM.pred[8,6]        -0.390   0.310  -1.046  -0.578  -0.364  -0.196   0.201
#> EM.pred[8,7]        -0.017   0.253  -0.552  -0.170  -0.008   0.157   0.447
#> SUCRA[1]             0.102   0.111   0.000   0.000   0.143   0.143   0.286
#> SUCRA[2]             0.879   0.204   0.286   0.857   1.000   1.000   1.000
#> SUCRA[3]             0.741   0.268   0.000   0.571   0.857   1.000   1.000
#> SUCRA[4]             0.359   0.233   0.000   0.143   0.286   0.429   0.857
#> SUCRA[5]             0.508   0.288   0.000   0.286   0.571   0.714   1.000
#> SUCRA[6]             0.206   0.190   0.000   0.000   0.143   0.286   0.714
#> SUCRA[7]             0.597   0.182   0.286   0.429   0.571   0.714   0.857
#> SUCRA[8]             0.607   0.193   0.286   0.429   0.571   0.714   1.000
#> abs_risk[1]          0.392   0.000   0.392   0.392   0.392   0.392   0.392
#> abs_risk[2]          0.210   0.077   0.091   0.149   0.200   0.264   0.378
#> abs_risk[3]          0.249   0.080   0.114   0.192   0.239   0.303   0.422
#> abs_risk[4]          0.337   0.061   0.238   0.291   0.336   0.372   0.475
#> abs_risk[5]          0.308   0.063   0.206   0.262   0.299   0.349   0.447
#> abs_risk[6]          0.370   0.058   0.258   0.331   0.371   0.411   0.480
#> abs_risk[7]          0.289   0.035   0.225   0.263   0.287   0.315   0.354
#> abs_risk[8]          0.284   0.036   0.226   0.260   0.280   0.304   0.369
#> delta[1,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[2,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[3,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[4,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[5,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[6,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[7,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[8,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[9,1]           0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[10,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[11,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[12,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[13,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[14,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[15,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[16,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[17,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[18,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[19,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[20,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[21,1]          0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> delta[1,2]          -0.284   0.315  -0.901  -0.483  -0.266  -0.100   0.375
#> delta[2,2]          -0.297   0.259  -0.779  -0.484  -0.291  -0.132   0.252
#> delta[3,2]          -0.542   0.212  -0.974  -0.684  -0.532  -0.374  -0.191
#> delta[4,2]          -0.461   0.188  -0.817  -0.596  -0.466  -0.336  -0.088
#> delta[5,2]          -0.487   0.225  -0.950  -0.632  -0.476  -0.333  -0.076
#> delta[6,2]          -0.402   0.201  -0.795  -0.547  -0.392  -0.264  -0.017
#> delta[7,2]          -0.454   0.174  -0.761  -0.576  -0.469  -0.349  -0.074
#> delta[8,2]          -0.434   0.183  -0.778  -0.565  -0.430  -0.314  -0.074
#> delta[9,2]          -0.477   0.193  -0.864  -0.612  -0.472  -0.338  -0.119
#> delta[10,2]         -0.181   0.321  -0.724  -0.401  -0.202   0.003   0.543
#> delta[11,2]         -0.156   0.256  -0.685  -0.319  -0.150   0.015   0.295
#> delta[12,2]         -0.212   0.280  -0.711  -0.403  -0.213  -0.047   0.408
#> delta[13,2]         -0.995   0.456  -1.834  -1.333  -1.005  -0.643  -0.163
#> delta[14,2]         -0.075   0.216  -0.522  -0.224  -0.062   0.084   0.304
#> delta[15,2]         -0.035   0.253  -0.546  -0.209  -0.033   0.146   0.430
#> delta[16,2]         -0.339   0.140  -0.608  -0.434  -0.345  -0.245  -0.058
#> delta[17,2]         -0.465   0.297  -1.083  -0.662  -0.428  -0.254   0.052
#> delta[18,2]         -0.436   0.316  -1.050  -0.647  -0.450  -0.223   0.194
#> delta[19,2]         -0.427   0.334  -1.071  -0.650  -0.432  -0.213   0.221
#> delta[20,2]         -0.440   0.218  -0.885  -0.578  -0.424  -0.299  -0.024
#> delta[21,2]         -0.543   0.226  -0.995  -0.683  -0.551  -0.395  -0.097
#> delta[9,3]          -0.524   0.204  -0.899  -0.665  -0.534  -0.397  -0.101
#> delta[10,3]         -0.386   0.311  -0.945  -0.611  -0.401  -0.163   0.218
#> delta[12,3]         -0.291   0.309  -0.843  -0.508  -0.320  -0.096   0.367
#> delta[13,3]         -0.753   0.415  -1.589  -1.036  -0.754  -0.443   0.022
#> delta[19,3]         -0.526   0.257  -1.089  -0.677  -0.504  -0.346  -0.095
#> delta[10,4]         -0.505   0.225  -0.955  -0.654  -0.497  -0.339  -0.107
#> delta[12,4]         -0.389   0.217  -0.804  -0.544  -0.378  -0.248   0.048
#> delta[13,4]         -0.184   0.288  -0.766  -0.375  -0.180   0.019   0.310
#> dev.o[1,1]           2.307   2.193   0.007   0.612   1.653   3.368   8.123
#> dev.o[2,1]           0.908   1.312   0.001   0.086   0.407   1.235   4.433
#> dev.o[3,1]           1.084   1.441   0.001   0.117   0.558   1.476   5.155
#> dev.o[4,1]           0.709   1.029   0.000   0.077   0.314   0.934   3.772
#> dev.o[5,1]           0.683   1.006   0.001   0.068   0.307   0.862   3.464
#> dev.o[6,1]           0.976   1.327   0.001   0.107   0.447   1.349   4.787
#> dev.o[7,1]           0.751   1.106   0.001   0.080   0.334   0.996   3.731
#> dev.o[8,1]           0.694   0.959   0.001   0.066   0.312   0.932   3.377
#> dev.o[9,1]           0.825   1.100   0.001   0.090   0.396   1.133   3.943
#> dev.o[10,1]          0.605   0.829   0.001   0.067   0.292   0.809   3.099
#> dev.o[11,1]          0.929   1.271   0.001   0.094   0.436   1.220   4.715
#> dev.o[12,1]          1.211   1.447   0.002   0.164   0.689   1.780   5.203
#> dev.o[13,1]          1.206   1.564   0.002   0.135   0.610   1.661   5.579
#> dev.o[14,1]          0.911   1.245   0.001   0.098   0.424   1.238   4.619
#> dev.o[15,1]          1.023   1.413   0.001   0.108   0.486   1.373   5.065
#> dev.o[16,1]          1.218   1.652   0.001   0.131   0.561   1.717   5.851
#> dev.o[17,1]          2.130   2.286   0.004   0.394   1.416   3.140   8.101
#> dev.o[18,1]          1.198   1.544   0.002   0.142   0.618   1.618   5.396
#> dev.o[19,1]          1.688   1.826   0.005   0.333   1.102   2.472   6.555
#> dev.o[20,1]          0.710   1.040   0.001   0.070   0.305   0.921   3.763
#> dev.o[21,1]          1.082   1.397   0.001   0.131   0.545   1.501   4.988
#> dev.o[1,2]           3.335   1.970   0.697   1.886   2.933   4.356   8.125
#> dev.o[2,2]           0.867   1.215   0.001   0.095   0.414   1.143   4.418
#> dev.o[3,2]           1.069   1.384   0.001   0.137   0.572   1.451   4.948
#> dev.o[4,2]           0.759   1.085   0.001   0.082   0.344   0.978   3.700
#> dev.o[5,2]           0.612   0.875   0.001   0.058   0.269   0.795   3.210
#> dev.o[6,2]           0.999   1.273   0.001   0.114   0.520   1.376   4.579
#> dev.o[7,2]           0.873   1.253   0.001   0.084   0.368   1.137   4.362
#> dev.o[8,2]           0.715   0.997   0.001   0.071   0.332   0.966   3.567
#> dev.o[9,2]           0.693   1.005   0.001   0.067   0.302   0.906   3.568
#> dev.o[10,2]          1.560   1.926   0.002   0.207   0.876   2.258   6.629
#> dev.o[11,2]          0.964   1.362   0.001   0.102   0.446   1.274   4.731
#> dev.o[12,2]          0.793   1.112   0.001   0.074   0.359   1.040   3.827
#> dev.o[13,2]          0.974   1.430   0.001   0.092   0.418   1.300   4.950
#> dev.o[14,2]          0.840   1.131   0.001   0.077   0.393   1.157   4.165
#> dev.o[15,2]          1.063   1.407   0.001   0.118   0.516   1.459   4.971
#> dev.o[16,2]          1.303   1.768   0.001   0.124   0.594   1.769   6.458
#> dev.o[17,2]          2.337   2.036   0.020   0.780   1.841   3.359   7.549
#> dev.o[18,2]          1.119   1.343   0.001   0.159   0.638   1.628   4.809
#> dev.o[19,2]          0.496   0.729   0.000   0.052   0.229   0.639   2.534
#> dev.o[20,2]          0.697   0.966   0.001   0.069   0.318   0.923   3.596
#> dev.o[21,2]          0.985   1.244   0.001   0.132   0.521   1.373   4.304
#> dev.o[9,3]           0.899   1.171   0.001   0.101   0.449   1.245   4.248
#> dev.o[10,3]          0.700   0.958   0.001   0.075   0.315   0.916   3.499
#> dev.o[12,3]          1.121   1.503   0.001   0.122   0.550   1.555   5.325
#> dev.o[13,3]          1.035   1.483   0.001   0.107   0.475   1.343   5.408
#> dev.o[19,3]          1.220   1.099   0.014   0.391   0.912   1.743   4.020
#> dev.o[10,4]          1.132   1.474   0.001   0.131   0.578   1.569   5.178
#> dev.o[12,4]          0.823   1.077   0.001   0.096   0.406   1.107   3.828
#> dev.o[13,4]          1.136   1.540   0.001   0.121   0.554   1.518   5.514
#> effectiveness[1,1]   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[2,1]   0.601   0.490   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[3,1]   0.267   0.442   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[4,1]   0.006   0.079   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[5,1]   0.072   0.258   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[6,1]   0.001   0.036   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[7,1]   0.014   0.119   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[8,1]   0.038   0.192   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[1,2]   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[2,2]   0.210   0.407   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[3,2]   0.343   0.475   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[4,2]   0.041   0.198   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[5,2]   0.111   0.315   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[6,2]   0.008   0.087   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[7,2]   0.136   0.343   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[8,2]   0.151   0.358   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[1,3]   0.001   0.032   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[2,3]   0.071   0.257   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[3,3]   0.098   0.298   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[4,3]   0.080   0.272   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[5,3]   0.197   0.398   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[6,3]   0.019   0.138   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[7,3]   0.272   0.445   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[8,3]   0.261   0.439   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[1,4]   0.003   0.055   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[2,4]   0.042   0.201   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[3,4]   0.103   0.304   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[4,4]   0.122   0.328   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[5,4]   0.132   0.339   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[6,4]   0.051   0.219   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[7,4]   0.302   0.459   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[8,4]   0.245   0.430   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[1,5]   0.017   0.129   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[2,5]   0.033   0.179   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[3,5]   0.075   0.263   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[4,5]   0.246   0.431   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[5,5]   0.170   0.376   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[6,5]   0.110   0.313   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[7,5]   0.159   0.366   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[8,5]   0.190   0.392   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[1,6]   0.119   0.323   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[2,6]   0.023   0.150   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[3,6]   0.054   0.227   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[4,6]   0.222   0.416   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[5,6]   0.140   0.347   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[6,6]   0.232   0.422   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[7,6]   0.100   0.300   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[8,6]   0.110   0.313   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[1,7]   0.410   0.492   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[2,7]   0.013   0.113   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[3,7]   0.026   0.159   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[4,7]   0.155   0.362   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[5,7]   0.085   0.279   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[6,7]   0.291   0.454   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[7,7]   0.014   0.119   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[8,7]   0.006   0.075   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[1,8]   0.451   0.498   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[2,8]   0.006   0.079   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[3,8]   0.034   0.180   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[4,8]   0.128   0.334   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[5,8]   0.093   0.290   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[6,8]   0.287   0.452   0.000   0.000   0.000   1.000   1.000
#> effectiveness[7,8]   0.002   0.041   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> effectiveness[8,8]   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000   0.000
#> hat.par[1,1]         1.569   0.758   0.397   0.996   1.484   2.038   3.260
#> hat.par[2,1]        49.215   4.632  40.208  46.053  49.302  52.300  58.252
#> hat.par[3,1]        44.040   4.559  35.364  40.806  43.823  47.152  53.288
#> hat.par[4,1]        42.102   4.648  33.165  38.915  41.975  45.121  51.591
#> hat.par[5,1]        17.199   2.463  12.426  15.539  17.133  18.809  22.133
#> hat.par[6,1]        43.850   4.136  35.800  41.073  43.779  46.623  52.185
#> hat.par[7,1]       157.038   7.325 142.836 152.071 157.096 162.084 171.152
#> hat.par[8,1]        68.381   5.387  57.890  64.654  68.397  71.996  78.996
#> hat.par[9,1]        89.393   5.171  79.374  85.890  89.379  92.871  99.582
#> hat.par[10,1]       78.516   3.736  71.036  75.969  78.608  81.115  85.347
#> hat.par[11,1]       73.119   5.762  61.964  69.183  73.027  76.899  84.808
#> hat.par[12,1]       77.286   4.165  68.714  74.619  77.334  80.192  85.240
#> hat.par[13,1]       49.637   4.713  40.743  46.421  49.554  52.763  59.225
#> hat.par[14,1]       33.992   4.700  25.255  30.664  33.756  37.057  43.606
#> hat.par[15,1]       36.857   4.751  27.656  33.624  36.806  39.923  46.416
#> hat.par[16,1]      303.905  13.008 279.131 294.618 303.793 312.959 329.536
#> hat.par[17,1]       10.546   2.486   6.249   8.756  10.356  12.145  15.831
#> hat.par[18,1]       21.512   3.291  15.549  19.306  21.360  23.657  28.327
#> hat.par[19,1]        4.018   1.387   1.761   3.004   3.864   4.839   7.191
#> hat.par[20,1]       25.283   3.528  18.387  22.928  25.173  27.537  32.467
#> hat.par[21,1]       32.088   4.274  24.377  29.142  31.848  34.834  40.674
#> hat.par[1,2]         1.458   0.750   0.341   0.890   1.340   1.907   3.185
#> hat.par[2,2]        46.708   4.721  37.661  43.430  46.714  49.883  56.239
#> hat.par[3,2]        31.219   3.924  23.686  28.591  31.192  33.751  39.204
#> hat.par[4,2]        43.893   5.093  34.413  40.448  43.633  47.317  54.142
#> hat.par[5,2]        11.963   2.079   8.146  10.514  11.832  13.352  16.362
#> hat.par[6,2]        35.119   3.871  27.922  32.468  35.033  37.604  43.135
#> hat.par[7,2]       196.704   9.989 177.577 190.284 196.626 203.230 216.543
#> hat.par[8,2]        51.511   5.079  42.043  48.015  51.434  54.960  61.594
#> hat.par[9,2]        81.141   5.620  69.983  77.389  81.099  84.823  92.278
#> hat.par[10,2]       72.991   3.926  65.141  70.332  73.115  75.734  80.398
#> hat.par[11,2]      119.322   8.289 103.475 113.692 119.369 124.974 135.382
#> hat.par[12,2]       80.452   4.798  70.957  77.280  80.445  83.770  89.588
#> hat.par[13,2]       26.069   4.486  17.664  23.044  25.884  28.960  35.180
#> hat.par[14,2]       32.037   4.539  23.301  28.976  31.836  35.080  41.328
#> hat.par[15,2]       32.202   4.388  24.301  29.156  31.970  34.993  41.365
#> hat.par[16,2]      247.087  12.719 222.236 238.576 247.029 255.353 273.443
#> hat.par[17,2]        7.325   1.935   3.951   5.945   7.180   8.551  11.538
#> hat.par[18,2]       13.387   2.499   8.675  11.604  13.348  15.082  18.422
#> hat.par[19,2]        2.659   1.020   1.127   1.903   2.537   3.242   5.027
#> hat.par[20,2]       18.736   2.978  13.287  16.652  18.611  20.680  24.970
#> hat.par[21,2]       21.741   3.475  14.874  19.443  21.670  24.024  28.670
#> hat.par[9,3]        79.962   5.863  68.153  76.060  80.105  83.958  91.181
#> hat.par[10,3]       68.801   4.234  60.501  65.927  68.870  71.758  76.972
#> hat.par[12,3]       67.556   4.785  58.115  64.276  67.633  70.835  77.109
#> hat.par[13,3]       35.015   5.240  25.256  31.387  34.808  38.470  45.394
#> hat.par[19,3]        2.388   0.876   1.042   1.749   2.255   2.906   4.383
#> hat.par[10,4]       66.635   4.250  57.944  63.805  66.645  69.506  74.848
#> hat.par[12,4]       62.545   4.306  54.465  59.658  62.421  65.384  71.122
#> hat.par[13,4]       41.286   4.759  32.183  38.094  41.220  44.361  50.989
#> phi[1]              -0.312   0.567  -1.515  -0.671  -0.257   0.105   0.667
#> phi[2]               0.032   0.951  -1.888  -0.615   0.058   0.709   1.777
#> phi[3]              -0.013   0.985  -2.010  -0.669   0.007   0.661   1.823
#> phi[4]              -1.045   0.851  -2.552  -1.631  -1.110  -0.499   0.730
#> phi[5]              -0.302   0.949  -1.965  -0.952  -0.376   0.288   1.746
#> phi[6]               0.765   0.789  -0.942   0.303   0.803   1.263   2.285
#> phi[7]              -0.362   0.682  -1.653  -0.815  -0.376   0.085   1.011
#> phi[8]              -0.066   1.035  -1.995  -0.795  -0.084   0.658   1.976
#> tau                  0.152   0.092   0.018   0.085   0.142   0.200   0.391
#> totresdev.o         53.968   8.819  37.505  47.899  53.626  59.845  72.322
#> deviance           581.602  13.604 557.081 572.284 581.035 590.221 609.331
#>                     Rhat n.eff
#> EM[2,1]            1.043    51
#> EM[3,1]            1.034    67
#> EM[4,1]            1.100    30
#> EM[5,1]            1.008   430
#> EM[6,1]            1.109    23
#> EM[7,1]            1.041    62
#> EM[8,1]            1.192    17
#> EM[3,2]            1.004   650
#> EM[4,2]            1.005   470
#> EM[5,2]            1.029    75
#> EM[6,2]            1.030    70
#> EM[7,2]            1.024    92
#> EM[8,2]            1.042    56
#> EM[4,3]            1.012  3000
#> EM[5,3]            1.024   110
#> EM[6,3]            1.014   160
#> EM[7,3]            1.015   180
#> EM[8,3]            1.019   120
#> EM[5,4]            1.044    97
#> EM[6,4]            1.034   110
#> EM[7,4]            1.033    96
#> EM[8,4]            1.043    63
#> EM[6,5]            1.026    87
#> EM[7,5]            1.006   400
#> EM[8,5]            1.019   120
#> EM[7,6]            1.057    42
#> EM[8,6]            1.015   430
#> EM[8,7]            1.089    27
#> EM.pred[2,1]       1.035    63
#> EM.pred[3,1]       1.030    77
#> EM.pred[4,1]       1.077    39
#> EM.pred[5,1]       1.003   780
#> EM.pred[6,1]       1.066    37
#> EM.pred[7,1]       1.024   170
#> EM.pred[8,1]       1.065    35
#> EM.pred[3,2]       1.004   610
#> EM.pred[4,2]       1.005   550
#> EM.pred[5,2]       1.027    80
#> EM.pred[6,2]       1.027    79
#> EM.pred[7,2]       1.019   120
#> EM.pred[8,2]       1.036    67
#> EM.pred[4,3]       1.012  3000
#> EM.pred[5,3]       1.021   140
#> EM.pred[6,3]       1.010   220
#> EM.pred[7,3]       1.012   250
#> EM.pred[8,3]       1.015   170
#> EM.pred[5,4]       1.039   110
#> EM.pred[6,4]       1.029   150
#> EM.pred[7,4]       1.026   180
#> EM.pred[8,4]       1.032    96
#> EM.pred[6,5]       1.021   110
#> EM.pred[7,5]       1.008   510
#> EM.pred[8,5]       1.014   150
#> EM.pred[7,6]       1.040    67
#> EM.pred[8,6]       1.018   310
#> EM.pred[8,7]       1.045    52
#> SUCRA[1]           1.042    56
#> SUCRA[2]           1.033   140
#> SUCRA[3]           1.006   510
#> SUCRA[4]           1.033   130
#> SUCRA[5]           1.020   110
#> SUCRA[6]           1.048    47
#> SUCRA[7]           1.039    57
#> SUCRA[8]           1.083    35
#> abs_risk[1]        1.000     1
#> abs_risk[2]        1.045    51
#> abs_risk[3]        1.037    63
#> abs_risk[4]        1.091    31
#> abs_risk[5]        1.009   410
#> abs_risk[6]        1.111    23
#> abs_risk[7]        1.043    60
#> abs_risk[8]        1.180    17
#> delta[1,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[2,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[3,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[4,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[5,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[6,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[7,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[8,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[9,1]         1.000     1
#> delta[10,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[11,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[12,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[13,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[14,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[15,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[16,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[17,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[18,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[19,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[20,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[21,1]        1.000     1
#> delta[1,2]         1.095    29
#> delta[2,2]         1.081    37
#> delta[3,2]         1.062    48
#> delta[4,2]         1.113    25
#> delta[5,2]         1.037    69
#> delta[6,2]         1.031    92
#> delta[7,2]         1.128    25
#> delta[8,2]         1.026   100
#> delta[9,2]         1.028    97
#> delta[10,2]        1.100    32
#> delta[11,2]        1.149    18
#> delta[12,2]        1.088    39
#> delta[13,2]        1.049    46
#> delta[14,2]        1.109    23
#> delta[15,2]        1.069    36
#> delta[16,2]        1.066    46
#> delta[17,2]        1.013   950
#> delta[18,2]        1.013   240
#> delta[19,2]        1.011   250
#> delta[20,2]        1.021   180
#> delta[21,2]        1.142    20
#> delta[9,3]         1.135    22
#> delta[10,3]        1.014   320
#> delta[12,3]        1.005   500
#> delta[13,3]        1.041    56
#> delta[19,3]        1.032   100
#> delta[10,4]        1.054    55
#> delta[12,4]        1.036    76
#> delta[13,4]        1.123    21
#> dev.o[1,1]         1.001  3000
#> dev.o[2,1]         1.004   560
#> dev.o[3,1]         1.001  3000
#> dev.o[4,1]         1.005   800
#> dev.o[5,1]         1.001  3000
#> dev.o[6,1]         1.003  2600
#> dev.o[7,1]         1.005   510
#> dev.o[8,1]         1.002  3000
#> dev.o[9,1]         1.002  1200
#> dev.o[10,1]        1.002  1900
#> dev.o[11,1]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[12,1]        1.003  2400
#> dev.o[13,1]        1.002  1400
#> dev.o[14,1]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[15,1]        1.007   320
#> dev.o[16,1]        1.003  1800
#> dev.o[17,1]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[18,1]        1.003  1600
#> dev.o[19,1]        1.007  1100
#> dev.o[20,1]        1.005  1100
#> dev.o[21,1]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[1,2]         1.002  1100
#> dev.o[2,2]         1.003   840
#> dev.o[3,2]         1.007   760
#> dev.o[4,2]         1.002  1200
#> dev.o[5,2]         1.001  3000
#> dev.o[6,2]         1.001  3000
#> dev.o[7,2]         1.002  1600
#> dev.o[8,2]         1.006   470
#> dev.o[9,2]         1.002  2100
#> dev.o[10,2]        1.002  1100
#> dev.o[11,2]        1.002  2300
#> dev.o[12,2]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[13,2]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[14,2]        1.002  2900
#> dev.o[15,2]        1.005   450
#> dev.o[16,2]        1.002  1600
#> dev.o[17,2]        1.008  3000
#> dev.o[18,2]        1.007   330
#> dev.o[19,2]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[20,2]        1.002  1800
#> dev.o[21,2]        1.002  1600
#> dev.o[9,3]         1.009   240
#> dev.o[10,3]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[12,3]        1.002  3000
#> dev.o[13,3]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[19,3]        1.003   850
#> dev.o[10,4]        1.001  3000
#> dev.o[12,4]        1.005   540
#> dev.o[13,4]        1.004   520
#> effectiveness[1,1] 1.000     1
#> effectiveness[2,1] 1.002  1200
#> effectiveness[3,1] 1.002  1200
#> effectiveness[4,1] 1.066  1100
#> effectiveness[5,1] 1.073    97
#> effectiveness[6,1] 1.105  3000
#> effectiveness[7,1] 1.119   250
#> effectiveness[8,1] 1.036   360
#> effectiveness[1,2] 1.000     1
#> effectiveness[2,2] 1.012   240
#> effectiveness[3,2] 1.009   240
#> effectiveness[4,2] 1.078   150
#> effectiveness[5,2] 1.056    90
#> effectiveness[6,2] 1.017  3000
#> effectiveness[7,2] 1.059    72
#> effectiveness[8,2] 1.018   220
#> effectiveness[1,3] 1.292  1000
#> effectiveness[2,3] 1.021   350
#> effectiveness[3,3] 1.005  1100
#> effectiveness[4,3] 1.053   120
#> effectiveness[5,3] 1.001  2100
#> effectiveness[6,3] 1.022  1200
#> effectiveness[7,3] 1.010   240
#> effectiveness[8,3] 1.007   370
#> effectiveness[1,4] 1.018  3000
#> effectiveness[2,4] 1.021   550
#> effectiveness[3,4] 1.024   220
#> effectiveness[4,4] 1.013   330
#> effectiveness[5,4] 1.010   410
#> effectiveness[6,4] 1.020   500
#> effectiveness[7,4] 1.010   220
#> effectiveness[8,4] 1.010   250
#> effectiveness[1,5] 1.119   210
#> effectiveness[2,5] 1.053   280
#> effectiveness[3,5] 1.048   150
#> effectiveness[4,5] 1.074    40
#> effectiveness[5,5] 1.003  1100
#> effectiveness[6,5] 1.020   250
#> effectiveness[7,5] 1.047    80
#> effectiveness[8,5] 1.001  3000
#> effectiveness[1,6] 1.025   190
#> effectiveness[2,6] 1.044   470
#> effectiveness[3,6] 1.004  2100
#> effectiveness[4,6] 1.001  3000
#> effectiveness[5,6] 1.016   260
#> effectiveness[6,6] 1.022   130
#> effectiveness[7,6] 1.020   270
#> effectiveness[8,6] 1.231    22
#> effectiveness[1,7] 1.019   110
#> effectiveness[2,7] 1.068   510
#> effectiveness[3,7] 1.001  3000
#> effectiveness[4,7] 1.022   170
#> effectiveness[5,7] 1.048   130
#> effectiveness[6,7] 1.004   570
#> effectiveness[7,7] 1.024  1400
#> effectiveness[8,7] 1.235   260
#> effectiveness[1,8] 1.043    52
#> effectiveness[2,8] 1.033  2300
#> effectiveness[3,8] 1.011  1300
#> effectiveness[4,8] 1.115    40
#> effectiveness[5,8] 1.024   240
#> effectiveness[6,8] 1.054    50
#> effectiveness[7,8] 1.293   600
#> effectiveness[8,8] 1.000     1
#> hat.par[1,1]       1.002  1700
#> hat.par[2,1]       1.008   320
#> hat.par[3,1]       1.008   380
#> hat.par[4,1]       1.018   120
#> hat.par[5,1]       1.006   360
#> hat.par[6,1]       1.004   650
#> hat.par[7,1]       1.005   700
#> hat.par[8,1]       1.003   720
#> hat.par[9,1]       1.008   350
#> hat.par[10,1]      1.002  1300
#> hat.par[11,1]      1.025    89
#> hat.par[12,1]      1.013   170
#> hat.par[13,1]      1.001  2600
#> hat.par[14,1]      1.014   150
#> hat.par[15,1]      1.008   420
#> hat.par[16,1]      1.002  1200
#> hat.par[17,1]      1.001  3000
#> hat.par[18,1]      1.002  1700
#> hat.par[19,1]      1.002  2000
#> hat.par[20,1]      1.001  3000
#> hat.par[21,1]      1.008   320
#> hat.par[1,2]       1.002  1000
#> hat.par[2,2]       1.009   250
#> hat.par[3,2]       1.006   480
#> hat.par[4,2]       1.008   250
#> hat.par[5,2]       1.008   290
#> hat.par[6,2]       1.002  1000
#> hat.par[7,2]       1.003   690
#> hat.par[8,2]       1.002  1600
#> hat.par[9,2]       1.020   100
#> hat.par[10,2]      1.003   760
#> hat.par[11,2]      1.006   350
#> hat.par[12,2]      1.001  3000
#> hat.par[13,2]      1.010   240
#> hat.par[14,2]      1.007   300
#> hat.par[15,2]      1.007   370
#> hat.par[16,2]      1.005   480
#> hat.par[17,2]      1.003  1300
#> hat.par[18,2]      1.009   240
#> hat.par[19,2]      1.002  2000
#> hat.par[20,2]      1.001  3000
#> hat.par[21,2]      1.018   130
#> hat.par[9,3]       1.024    92
#> hat.par[10,3]      1.001  3000
#> hat.par[12,3]      1.005   450
#> hat.par[13,3]      1.001  3000
#> hat.par[19,3]      1.003   740
#> hat.par[10,4]      1.001  3000
#> hat.par[12,4]      1.003   900
#> hat.par[13,4]      1.007   290
#> phi[1]             1.145    19
#> phi[2]             1.006   400
#> phi[3]             1.002  1600
#> phi[4]             1.028   190
#> phi[5]             1.020   110
#> phi[6]             1.020   110
#> phi[7]             1.031    81
#> phi[8]             1.045    68
#> tau                1.189    17
#> totresdev.o        1.007   440
#> deviance           1.001  2400
#> 
#> For each parameter, n.eff is a crude measure of effective sample size,
#> and Rhat is the potential scale reduction factor (at convergence, Rhat=1).
#> 
#> DIC info (using the rule, pD = var(deviance)/2)
#> pD = 92.5 and DIC = 674.1
#> DIC is an estimate of expected predictive error (lower deviance is better).
#> 
#> $n_chains
#> [1] 3
#> 
#> $n_iter
#> [1] 1000
#> 
#> $n_burnin
#> [1] 100
#> 
#> $n_thin
#> [1] 1
#> 
#> $EM_pred
#>                     mean        sd        2.5%          25%          50%
#> EM.pred[2,1] -0.94867209 0.5098007 -1.94786467 -1.309605963 -0.937567740
#> EM.pred[3,1] -0.71009573 0.4778580 -1.66130483 -1.011319694 -0.713513513
#> EM.pred[4,1] -0.24713195 0.3250902 -0.88608156 -0.455206486 -0.237027983
#> EM.pred[5,1] -0.38268004 0.3412972 -1.05169127 -0.613217447 -0.396878636
#> EM.pred[6,1] -0.09743734 0.3100972 -0.73257081 -0.295117858 -0.088393101
#> EM.pred[7,1] -0.46934891 0.2505422 -0.99770313 -0.624093613 -0.455382140
#> EM.pred[8,1] -0.49368540 0.2484578 -1.01307468 -0.641861496 -0.487174576
#> EM.pred[3,2]  0.24170397 0.5405280 -0.82080591 -0.100180460  0.225984525
#> EM.pred[4,2]  0.70500682 0.5507852 -0.26881540  0.291023840  0.666525202
#> EM.pred[5,2]  0.57144203 0.5374811 -0.38541809  0.170152936  0.576762464
#> EM.pred[6,2]  0.85334770 0.5006808 -0.09186393  0.506248419  0.818993588
#> EM.pred[7,2]  0.48535949 0.4690012 -0.41831872  0.166556016  0.455494457
#> EM.pred[8,2]  0.46913408 0.4769225 -0.45903601  0.151477192  0.452303850
#> EM.pred[4,3]  0.46483110 0.5083757 -0.53934055  0.128320229  0.464673613
#> EM.pred[5,3]  0.32430171 0.4904345 -0.60649394 -0.031207556  0.324199852
#> EM.pred[6,3]  0.61302821 0.4730916 -0.33440557  0.318184612  0.596903633
#> EM.pred[7,3]  0.24385345 0.4694916 -0.70300735 -0.056641003  0.247621200
#> EM.pred[8,3]  0.22453776 0.4733614 -0.73374697 -0.064248661  0.227550133
#> EM.pred[5,4] -0.14581422 0.4233004 -1.03397532 -0.390016067 -0.166473970
#> EM.pred[6,4]  0.15031398 0.3831393 -0.62409279 -0.079579403  0.170332759
#> EM.pred[7,4] -0.22263105 0.3398755 -0.96551689 -0.425269339 -0.195410470
#> EM.pred[8,4] -0.24522887 0.3371478 -0.98368270 -0.443986455 -0.199766552
#> EM.pred[6,5]  0.28441748 0.4091535 -0.50603244  0.006539393  0.302306705
#> EM.pred[7,5] -0.08718590 0.3508476 -0.85860639 -0.309127595 -0.053317884
#> EM.pred[8,5] -0.10145750 0.3689252 -0.87275988 -0.352172412 -0.071037656
#> EM.pred[7,6] -0.36497136 0.3167135 -1.00224195 -0.553399861 -0.365544394
#> EM.pred[8,6] -0.39024727 0.3096278 -1.04633537 -0.577616164 -0.364235166
#> EM.pred[8,7] -0.01658677 0.2532535 -0.55234734 -0.170032393 -0.007770312
#>                        75%        97.5%     Rhat n.eff
#> EM.pred[2,1] -0.5709774622 -0.017903753 1.035012    63
#> EM.pred[3,1] -0.3752361598  0.202888150 1.029555    77
#> EM.pred[4,1] -0.0650677444  0.446900338 1.077129    39
#> EM.pred[5,1] -0.1447394563  0.269287627 1.003200   780
#> EM.pred[6,1]  0.1204675864  0.489177416 1.066385    37
#> EM.pred[7,1] -0.3095269586  0.008973348 1.024444   170
#> EM.pred[8,1] -0.3374683609 -0.052089411 1.065253    35
#> EM.pred[3,2]  0.6002442518  1.295207649 1.003870   610
#> EM.pred[4,2]  1.0837339401  1.831265700 1.004716   550
#> EM.pred[5,2]  0.9383670127  1.584205457 1.027365    80
#> EM.pred[6,2]  1.1791224218  1.867277106 1.026726    79
#> EM.pred[7,2]  0.7878090532  1.444023358 1.018940   120
#> EM.pred[8,2]  0.7937142329  1.423529437 1.035890    67
#> EM.pred[4,3]  0.7854805913  1.511201550 1.011887  3000
#> EM.pred[5,3]  0.6776002588  1.238866189 1.021019   140
#> EM.pred[6,3]  0.9202473528  1.545662972 1.009931   220
#> EM.pred[7,3]  0.5582726677  1.177548346 1.012020   250
#> EM.pred[8,3]  0.5275488178  1.151582051 1.014872   170
#> EM.pred[5,4]  0.1306086701  0.650359235 1.039136   110
#> EM.pred[6,4]  0.3842137796  0.907733192 1.028867   150
#> EM.pred[7,4] -0.0113931622  0.437435433 1.026344   180
#> EM.pred[8,4]  0.0003268401  0.312063248 1.031933    96
#> EM.pred[6,5]  0.5681076850  1.072877567 1.020582   110
#> EM.pred[7,5]  0.1504219860  0.546921583 1.008362   510
#> EM.pred[8,5]  0.1835608279  0.508759595 1.013743   150
#> EM.pred[7,6] -0.1483968492  0.216356308 1.039638    67
#> EM.pred[8,6] -0.1956733407  0.201219195 1.017834   310
#> EM.pred[8,7]  0.1568400272  0.446895914 1.045443    52
#> 
#> $tau
#>        mean          sd        2.5%         25%         50%         75% 
#>  0.15222726  0.09230336  0.01795665  0.08516738  0.14187969  0.20027582 
#>       97.5%        Rhat       n.eff 
#>  0.39072013  1.18941364 17.00000000 
#> 
#> $delta
#>                    mean        sd       2.5%        25%         50%         75%
#> delta[1,2]  -0.28442898 0.3147612 -0.9006578 -0.4827189 -0.26572758 -0.10024047
#> delta[2,2]  -0.29719831 0.2590276 -0.7792951 -0.4838425 -0.29130410 -0.13198102
#> delta[3,2]  -0.54231866 0.2124651 -0.9742154 -0.6837604 -0.53234171 -0.37371609
#> delta[4,2]  -0.46127117 0.1881528 -0.8174278 -0.5957306 -0.46633721 -0.33600621
#> delta[5,2]  -0.48688760 0.2251093 -0.9496183 -0.6324472 -0.47637361 -0.33300461
#> delta[6,2]  -0.40151260 0.2011238 -0.7947560 -0.5473189 -0.39166792 -0.26394642
#> delta[7,2]  -0.45433234 0.1741296 -0.7606862 -0.5759122 -0.46886478 -0.34926381
#> delta[8,2]  -0.43366463 0.1831372 -0.7778141 -0.5650650 -0.43013308 -0.31385183
#> delta[9,2]  -0.47695396 0.1926814 -0.8643720 -0.6124117 -0.47216679 -0.33827852
#> delta[10,2] -0.18108308 0.3214342 -0.7240878 -0.4008857 -0.20186498  0.00325928
#> delta[11,2] -0.15597387 0.2557364 -0.6848432 -0.3185243 -0.14985584  0.01521530
#> delta[12,2] -0.21190952 0.2804416 -0.7112716 -0.4026130 -0.21260895 -0.04707008
#> delta[13,2] -0.99459429 0.4557138 -1.8336371 -1.3331123 -1.00505386 -0.64333966
#> delta[14,2] -0.07519043 0.2155349 -0.5220294 -0.2237173 -0.06218929  0.08425864
#> delta[15,2] -0.03541861 0.2530545 -0.5462876 -0.2093525 -0.03303859  0.14598360
#> delta[16,2] -0.33863032 0.1400900 -0.6077196 -0.4344279 -0.34478042 -0.24547445
#> delta[17,2] -0.46523190 0.2973549 -1.0834744 -0.6616990 -0.42806211 -0.25395483
#> delta[18,2] -0.43636450 0.3158704 -1.0498128 -0.6470153 -0.45009371 -0.22309480
#> delta[19,2] -0.42714718 0.3338410 -1.0705394 -0.6498909 -0.43166884 -0.21257240
#> delta[20,2] -0.43987476 0.2180946 -0.8851688 -0.5782707 -0.42436608 -0.29909366
#> delta[21,2] -0.54322793 0.2258040 -0.9946831 -0.6829649 -0.55104960 -0.39502898
#> delta[9,3]  -0.52365850 0.2037486 -0.8991296 -0.6647160 -0.53421680 -0.39651514
#> delta[10,3] -0.38649300 0.3105555 -0.9451473 -0.6112106 -0.40092596 -0.16272337
#> delta[12,3] -0.29136843 0.3092900 -0.8434295 -0.5077735 -0.31971829 -0.09571349
#> delta[13,3] -0.75259451 0.4148189 -1.5890760 -1.0356738 -0.75368573 -0.44336172
#> delta[19,3] -0.52602748 0.2571075 -1.0893974 -0.6766997 -0.50406316 -0.34597961
#> delta[10,4] -0.50519188 0.2248995 -0.9549104 -0.6538936 -0.49656934 -0.33899812
#> delta[12,4] -0.38873592 0.2169376 -0.8042751 -0.5437097 -0.37847984 -0.24823089
#> delta[13,4] -0.18433795 0.2878630 -0.7663378 -0.3747777 -0.17963213  0.01882406
#>                   97.5%     Rhat n.eff
#> delta[1,2]   0.37517585 1.094862    29
#> delta[2,2]   0.25194870 1.081038    37
#> delta[3,2]  -0.19060741 1.062078    48
#> delta[4,2]  -0.08808433 1.113219    25
#> delta[5,2]  -0.07591440 1.036874    69
#> delta[6,2]  -0.01675318 1.031231    92
#> delta[7,2]  -0.07395292 1.127750    25
#> delta[8,2]  -0.07439817 1.025622   100
#> delta[9,2]  -0.11874137 1.027732    97
#> delta[10,2]  0.54323299 1.099992    32
#> delta[11,2]  0.29466198 1.149110    18
#> delta[12,2]  0.40839404 1.088044    39
#> delta[13,2] -0.16293094 1.049210    46
#> delta[14,2]  0.30391670 1.108731    23
#> delta[15,2]  0.43025169 1.069246    36
#> delta[16,2] -0.05786824 1.066389    46
#> delta[17,2]  0.05221142 1.012943   950
#> delta[18,2]  0.19405717 1.012927   240
#> delta[19,2]  0.22066427 1.011404   250
#> delta[20,2] -0.02444730 1.021018   180
#> delta[21,2] -0.09738982 1.142030    20
#> delta[9,3]  -0.10067753 1.134527    22
#> delta[10,3]  0.21806639 1.014053   320
#> delta[12,3]  0.36693085 1.005285   500
#> delta[13,3]  0.02164439 1.041318    56
#> delta[19,3] -0.09454191 1.031770   100
#> delta[10,4] -0.10717617 1.053725    55
#> delta[12,4]  0.04818428 1.035849    76
#> delta[13,4]  0.30962118 1.123358    21
#> 
#> $heter_prior
#> [1] 0 1 1
#> 
#> $SUCRA
#>               mean        sd      2.5%       25%       50%       75%     97.5%
#> SUCRA[1] 0.1021429 0.1105928 0.0000000 0.0000000 0.1428571 0.1428571 0.2857143
#> SUCRA[2] 0.8787143 0.2039180 0.2857143 0.8571429 1.0000000 1.0000000 1.0000000
#> SUCRA[3] 0.7411905 0.2682536 0.0000000 0.5714286 0.8571429 1.0000000 1.0000000
#> SUCRA[4] 0.3592857 0.2334013 0.0000000 0.1428571 0.2857143 0.4285714 0.8571429
#> SUCRA[5] 0.5083810 0.2883185 0.0000000 0.2857143 0.5714286 0.7142857 1.0000000
#> SUCRA[6] 0.2059524 0.1901228 0.0000000 0.0000000 0.1428571 0.2857143 0.7142857
#> SUCRA[7] 0.5968571 0.1824732 0.2857143 0.4285714 0.5714286 0.7142857 0.8571429
#> SUCRA[8] 0.6074762 0.1931094 0.2857143 0.4285714 0.5714286 0.7142857 1.0000000
#>              Rhat n.eff
#> SUCRA[1] 1.041912    56
#> SUCRA[2] 1.033178   140
#> SUCRA[3] 1.005970   510
#> SUCRA[4] 1.033328   130
#> SUCRA[5] 1.020131   110
#> SUCRA[6] 1.047580    47
#> SUCRA[7] 1.038877    57
#> SUCRA[8] 1.083103    35
#> 
#> $effectiveness
#>                           mean         sd 2.5% 25% 50% 75% 97.5%     Rhat n.eff
#> effectiveness[1,1] 0.000000000 0.00000000    0   0   0   0     0 1.000000     1
#> effectiveness[2,1] 0.601000000 0.48977440    0   0   1   1     1 1.002146  1200
#> effectiveness[3,1] 0.267000000 0.44246611    0   0   0   1     1 1.002200  1200
#> effectiveness[4,1] 0.006333333 0.07934306    0   0   0   0     0 1.065603  1100
#> effectiveness[5,1] 0.071666667 0.25797818    0   0   0   0     1 1.073060    97
#> effectiveness[6,1] 0.001333333 0.03649657    0   0   0   0     0 1.105330  3000
#> effectiveness[7,1] 0.014333333 0.11888061    0   0   0   0     0 1.119156   250
#> effectiveness[8,1] 0.038333333 0.19203172    0   0   0   0     1 1.035739   360
#> effectiveness[1,2] 0.000000000 0.00000000    0   0   0   0     0 1.000000     1
#> effectiveness[2,2] 0.210000000 0.40737614    0   0   0   0     1 1.012302   240
#> effectiveness[3,2] 0.342666667 0.47468024    0   0   0   1     1 1.008825   240
#> effectiveness[4,2] 0.040666667 0.19754973    0   0   0   0     1 1.077763   150
#> effectiveness[5,2] 0.111333333 0.31459690    0   0   0   0     1 1.055591    90
#> effectiveness[6,2] 0.007666667 0.08723775    0   0   0   0     0 1.017258  3000
#> effectiveness[7,2] 0.136333333 0.34319938    0   0   0   0     1 1.059394    72
#> effectiveness[8,2] 0.151333333 0.35843323    0   0   0   0     1 1.017646   220
#> effectiveness[1,3] 0.001000000 0.03161223    0   0   0   0     0 1.292018  1000
#> effectiveness[2,3] 0.071333333 0.25742373    0   0   0   0     1 1.020892   350
#> effectiveness[3,3] 0.098333333 0.29781446    0   0   0   0     1 1.004805  1100
#> effectiveness[4,3] 0.080333333 0.27185386    0   0   0   0     1 1.052768   120
#> effectiveness[5,3] 0.197000000 0.39779863    0   0   0   0     1 1.001464  2100
#> effectiveness[6,3] 0.019333333 0.13771666    0   0   0   0     0 1.021674  1200
#> effectiveness[7,3] 0.272000000 0.44506407    0   0   0   1     1 1.010155   240
#> effectiveness[8,3] 0.260666667 0.43907154    0   0   0   1     1 1.006520   370
#> effectiveness[1,4] 0.003000000 0.05469915    0   0   0   0     0 1.017624  3000
#> effectiveness[2,4] 0.042333333 0.20138208    0   0   0   0     1 1.021222   550
#> effectiveness[3,4] 0.103000000 0.30400955    0   0   0   0     1 1.023786   220
#> effectiveness[4,4] 0.122333333 0.32772502    0   0   0   0     1 1.013387   330
#> effectiveness[5,4] 0.132333333 0.33890929    0   0   0   0     1 1.010273   410
#> effectiveness[6,4] 0.050666667 0.21935267    0   0   0   0     1 1.019845   500
#> effectiveness[7,4] 0.301666667 0.45905788    0   0   0   1     1 1.010371   220
#> effectiveness[8,4] 0.244666667 0.42996106    0   0   0   0     1 1.010401   250
#> effectiveness[1,5] 0.017000000 0.12929258    0   0   0   0     0 1.119204   210
#> effectiveness[2,5] 0.033000000 0.17866628    0   0   0   0     1 1.053107   280
#> effectiveness[3,5] 0.075000000 0.26343525    0   0   0   0     1 1.047610   150
#> effectiveness[4,5] 0.245666667 0.43055354    0   0   0   0     1 1.074376    40
#> effectiveness[5,5] 0.170000000 0.37569542    0   0   0   0     1 1.002688  1100
#> effectiveness[6,5] 0.110333333 0.31335702    0   0   0   0     1 1.019785   250
#> effectiveness[7,5] 0.159333333 0.36604766    0   0   0   0     1 1.047260    80
#> effectiveness[8,5] 0.189666667 0.39210263    0   0   0   0     1 1.000677  3000
#> effectiveness[1,6] 0.118666667 0.32344978    0   0   0   0     1 1.024648   190
#> effectiveness[2,6] 0.023000000 0.14992829    0   0   0   0     0 1.044274   470
#> effectiveness[3,6] 0.054333333 0.22671205    0   0   0   0     1 1.004044  2100
#> effectiveness[4,6] 0.222000000 0.41566043    0   0   0   0     1 1.000996  3000
#> effectiveness[5,6] 0.139666667 0.34669865    0   0   0   0     1 1.015654   260
#> effectiveness[6,6] 0.232333333 0.42239085    0   0   0   0     1 1.022227   130
#> effectiveness[7,6] 0.100333333 0.30049402    0   0   0   0     1 1.019756   270
#> effectiveness[8,6] 0.109666667 0.31252591    0   0   0   0     1 1.230990    22
#> effectiveness[1,7] 0.409666667 0.49185417    0   0   0   1     1 1.019020   110
#> effectiveness[2,7] 0.013000000 0.11329289    0   0   0   0     0 1.068461   510
#> effectiveness[3,7] 0.026000000 0.15916169    0   0   0   0     1 1.001312  3000
#> effectiveness[4,7] 0.154666667 0.36164691    0   0   0   0     1 1.021690   170
#> effectiveness[5,7] 0.085333333 0.27942366    0   0   0   0     1 1.047831   130
#> effectiveness[6,7] 0.291333333 0.45445249    0   0   0   1     1 1.004023   570
#> effectiveness[7,7] 0.014333333 0.11888061    0   0   0   0     0 1.023919  1400
#> effectiveness[8,7] 0.005666667 0.07507619    0   0   0   0     0 1.235099   260
#> effectiveness[1,8] 0.450666667 0.49764322    0   0   0   1     1 1.042920    52
#> effectiveness[2,8] 0.006333333 0.07934306    0   0   0   0     0 1.032834  2300
#> effectiveness[3,8] 0.033666667 0.18039975    0   0   0   0     1 1.011319  1300
#> effectiveness[4,8] 0.128000000 0.33414550    0   0   0   0     1 1.115202    40
#> effectiveness[5,8] 0.092666667 0.29001309    0   0   0   0     1 1.023598   240
#> effectiveness[6,8] 0.287000000 0.45243699    0   0   0   1     1 1.053776    50
#> effectiveness[7,8] 0.001666667 0.04079759    0   0   0   0     0 1.293137   600
#> effectiveness[8,8] 0.000000000 0.00000000    0   0   0   0     0 1.000000     1
#> 
#> $abs_risk
#>                  mean         sd       2.5%       25%       50%       75%
#> abs_risk[1] 0.3916667 0.00000000 0.39166667 0.3916667 0.3916667 0.3916667
#> abs_risk[2] 0.2095835 0.07689002 0.09087526 0.1494869 0.1996166 0.2642581
#> abs_risk[3] 0.2493819 0.08037032 0.11361977 0.1922458 0.2393707 0.3030699
#> abs_risk[4] 0.3371851 0.06058315 0.23781338 0.2911815 0.3356545 0.3724691
#> abs_risk[5] 0.3080557 0.06304888 0.20616677 0.2619806 0.2988700 0.3487551
#> abs_risk[6] 0.3704115 0.05809658 0.25784679 0.3305663 0.3706576 0.4113375
#> abs_risk[7] 0.2886915 0.03487829 0.22452187 0.2627359 0.2865203 0.3150720
#> abs_risk[8] 0.2843882 0.03550909 0.22560045 0.2597372 0.2795239 0.3035755
#>                 97.5%     Rhat n.eff
#> abs_risk[1] 0.3916667 1.000000     1
#> abs_risk[2] 0.3780009 1.044520    51
#> abs_risk[3] 0.4218336 1.036897    63
#> abs_risk[4] 0.4748589 1.091470    31
#> abs_risk[5] 0.4467485 1.008956   410
#> abs_risk[6] 0.4796027 1.111387    23
#> abs_risk[7] 0.3535068 1.043089    60
#> abs_risk[8] 0.3692168 1.179818    17
#> 
#> $base_risk
#> [1] 0.3916667
#> 
#> attr(,"class")
#> [1] "run_model"
# }